ABBV:NYSEAbbVie Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$225.90
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AbbVie’s stock is trading above its short‑term moving average while remaining under its longer‑term average, signaling a modest bullish bias. Momentum indicators show the RSI near the midpoint, indicating a neutral stance rather than overbought conditions. The MACD histogram has slipped into negative territory, providing a bearish signal that tempers the upward bias. Volatility measured over the past month is elevated, yet the beta remains low, suggesting the share price is less sensitive to broader market swings. Valuation metrics reveal a price‑to‑earnings multiple that far exceeds the sector average, pointing to a stretched valuation. At the same time, the dividend yield remains attractive, though the payout ratio sits above one hundred percent, raising questions about sustainability.
A discounted cash‑flow model places fair value well below the current market price, implying limited upside from a valuation perspective. Recent earnings beat and positive Phase three trial results for a key immunology asset provide short‑term momentum. The company’s announcement of new manufacturing facilities that will integrate artificial intelligence underscores a strategic push for long‑term growth. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy recommendation with price targets clustered near the upper end of the recent trading range. Strong operating cash flow and free cash flow generation support the hefty dividend but also highlight the reliance on debt‑financed payouts. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of attractive income and high valuation, making it a nuanced play for investors.
A discounted cash‑flow model places fair value well below the current market price, implying limited upside from a valuation perspective. Recent earnings beat and positive Phase three trial results for a key immunology asset provide short‑term momentum. The company’s announcement of new manufacturing facilities that will integrate artificial intelligence underscores a strategic push for long‑term growth. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy recommendation with price targets clustered near the upper end of the recent trading range. Strong operating cash flow and free cash flow generation support the hefty dividend but also highlight the reliance on debt‑financed payouts. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of attractive income and high valuation, making it a nuanced play for investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD momentum
- Elevated valuation relative to peers
- Strong dividend yield but high payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive earnings beat and trial data
- Strategic investment in AI‑enabled manufacturing
- Analyst buy consensus with supportive price targets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Robust cash flow generation
- Sustained dividend income
- Valuation risk remains a headwind
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.00%
Profit Margin6.91%
P/E Ratio95.3
ROE6225.00%
ROA9.81%
P/B Ratio-122.1
Op. Cash Flow$19.0B
Free Cash Flow$18.3B
Industry P/E25.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.6
Support$218.05
Resistance$237.11
MA 20$228.53
MA 50$224.99
MA 200$213.75
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100
Valuation
Fair Value$184.23
Target Price$248.86
Upside/Downside10.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.01%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility25.67%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.