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MS:NYSEMorgan Stanley Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$160.82

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Morgan Stanley trades at $160.82, sitting just above its 200‑day SMA of 158.37 but below the 20‑day (170.58) and 50‑day (177.95) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 36.8% suggests the stock is edging toward oversold territory, while a bearish MACD (‑4.37 line vs ‑3.34 signal) points to lingering downside pressure. Volatility is elevated at 36.8% over the past 30 days and beta clocks in at 1.30, reflecting heightened market sensitivity, yet the Fear & Greed Index shows “Extreme Greed,” supporting the 21.6% upside potential implied by analyst price targets around $195.
Fundamentally, MS delivered $70.3 B of revenue with 11% YoY growth, strong gross (87%) and operating (38.6%) margins, and a trailing P/E of 15.75 versus the industry average of 17.37, making it appear undervalued. The forward P/E improves to 13.09, and a 2.5% dividend yield with a modest 38% payout adds income appeal, though operating cash flow is negative and debt‑to‑equity is extreme, offset by a massive cash hoard of $600 B.
Recent material news shows the stock rallied to $168.79, outpacing the market, and analysts maintain a consensus “Buy” with 21 contributors. The company announced a regular dividend on preferred shares and is trimming 3% of its global workforce, signaling cost‑discipline. Given the blend of attractive valuation, dividend income, and ongoing strategic adjustments, the stock presents a compelling near‑term buying opportunity tempered by liquidity and regulatory headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI near oversold and price above key support
  • Positive price momentum relative to market
  • Analyst consensus buy and near‑term upside to $185 resistance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 11% with strong margins
  • Attractive forward P/E of 13.1 versus peers
  • Dividend yield of 2.5% with sustainable payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust cash position offsetting high leverage
  • Exposure to cyclical capital‑markets environment
  • Ongoing cost‑discipline measures and dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.00%
Profit Margin23.99%
P/E Ratio15.8
ROE15.61%
ROA1.29%
Debt/Equity455.75
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash Flow$-17888999424
Industry P/E17.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.8
Support$154.07
Resistance$184.58
MA 20$170.58
MA 50$177.95
MA 200$158.37
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Target Price$195.52
Upside/Downside21.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.50%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.31
Volatility36.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.