MRAM:NASDAQEverspin Technologies, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-15 - not real-time
$27.85
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Everspin Technologies (MRAM) is trading at $27.85, just below its 20‑day SMA of 28.41 but well above the 50‑day SMA of 22.63, indicating short‑term price pressure. The RSI sits near 53, suggesting a neutral momentum, yet the MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, and volume has been trending down, pointing to weakening buying interest. Volatility is extreme at roughly 189% over the past 30 days and a beta exceeding 3, amplifying price swings and downside risk. Fundamental metrics reveal a sky‑high trailing PE of 2,785 versus a DCF‑derived fair value of only $7.81, implying the stock is significantly overvalued. Revenue grew 13% year‑over‑year to $56.9 M and margins remain thin, with operating losses and negative free cash flow, though the balance sheet holds $40 M in cash against modest debt. Recent material news includes a 7% after‑hours price jump following CEO option sales, and the upcoming inclusion in the Russell 2000 Index, which could attract passive inflows but does not resolve the valuation disconnect.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal near‑term weakness
- Current price far exceeds DCF fair value
- Extreme volatility and high beta increase downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth and strong cash position provide a cushion
- Russell 2000 inclusion may generate index‑driven buying
- Operating margins remain negative, limiting earnings upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strategic positioning in emerging MRAM markets (automotive, data center)
- Persistent overvaluation requires a material earnings turnaround
- High beta and volatility keep the stock risk‑heavy despite growth potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.20%
Profit Margin0.50%
P/E Ratio2785.0
ROE0.43%
ROA-5.58%
Debt/Equity4.27
P/B Ratio9.2
Op. Cash Flow$9.1M
Free Cash Flow$-8331500
Industry P/E38.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI53.0
Support$21.25
Resistance$38.66
MA 20$28.41
MA 50$22.63
MA 200$13.01
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.5
Valuation
Fair Value$7.81
Target Price$18.00
Upside/Downside-35.37%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta3.73
Volatility189.10%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.