MOTHERSON:NSEMOTHERSON FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time
₹166.45
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At INR 166.45, Samvardhana Motherson International Limited shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 17.2%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 62.8 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at INR 143.86 up to resistance at INR 173.27.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as tight.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 30.9%, a beta of -0.32 and a maximum drawdown of 22.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as tight.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 30.9%, a beta of -0.32 and a maximum drawdown of 22.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Samvardhana Motherson International Q1 results 2026: The company had reported a consolidated net profit of ₹511.Samvardhana Motherson FY26 Results: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd has announced a remarkable 43% increase in...Samvardhana Motherson Q4 results: Samvardhana Motherson International, on Wednesday, 20 May, reported an impressive 42.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 129.80
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 129.80
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 22.3%
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 30.9%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price166.45
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.8
Support₹143.86
Resistance₹173.27
MA 20₹162.65
MA 50₹152.34
MA 200₹129.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.7
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.32
Volatility30.89%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.