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MOTHERSON:NSEMOTHERSON FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-13 - not real-time

₹126.35

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Motherson’s stock is trading at ₹126.35, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (₹125.52), 50‑day SMA (₹120.46) and 200‑day SMA (₹112.53), confirming a robust bullish alignment. The RSI sits at 53.6, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD line (2.12) remains above its signal (2.05), delivering a bullish signal with a modest positive histogram. The price is anchored by a strong support at ₹118.41 and faces resistance near ₹132.99, giving the upside room to test higher levels. Volume trends are decreasing, yet the average 10‑day and 3‑month volumes remain healthy, supporting liquidity. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (FGI 89.5), underscoring aggressive investor appetite.
Despite a high 30‑day volatility of 47.8% and a historical max drawdown of –22.3%, the stock’s computed beta of –0.47 suggests a low correlation with broader market moves, providing a defensive edge. The forward PE of 25.2 and a price‑to‑book of 3.61 indicate reasonable valuation relative to growth prospects in the automotive components space. Given these dynamics, the outlook remains favorable across short‑, medium‑ and long‑term horizons, with the primary risks tied to sector cyclicality and potential inventory pressures.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major SMAs
  • Bullish MACD crossover
  • Strong support at ₹118.41

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Reasonable forward PE relative to growth outlook
  • Low market beta indicating defensive characteristic
  • Extreme greed sentiment supporting demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sector cyclicality risk
  • High volatility and drawdown history
  • Balanced valuation metrics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price126.35
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.6
Support₹118.41
Resistance₹132.99
MA 20₹125.52
MA 50₹120.46
MA 200₹112.53
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.5

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.47
Volatility47.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.