MOMO:NASDAQHello Group Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 2, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $4.72
- Risk: medium
- 7/10Medium risk
Summary
Hello Group Inc. is priced at $4.72 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. The last 30 days have lost 17.2%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 28.5 (oversold) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $4.72 and resistance around $5.52.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 4.7 sits below the sector average of 15.2. Analyst price targets sit 64.5% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 5.1% on a 11.0% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.3%, a beta of 0.74 and a maximum drawdown of 36.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 5/10 long-term conviction.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 4.7 sits below the sector average of 15.2. Analyst price targets sit 64.5% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 5.1% on a 11.0% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 33.3%, a beta of 0.74 and a maximum drawdown of 36.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 5/10 long-term conviction.
Top market events
- On September 3, Hello Group NASDAQ:MOMO reported second-quarter 2026 results that read like two different companies...
- On September 3, Hello Group NASDAQ:MOMO reported second-quarter 2026 results that read like two different companies...
- On September 3, Hello Group NASDAQ:MOMO reported second-quarter 2026 results that read like two different companies...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 28.5 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6.03
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 28.5 signals oversold conditions
- P/E of 4.7 versus sector average of 15.2
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 4.7 versus sector average of 15.2
- Analyst targets imply +64.5% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -5.1%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-5.10%
Profit Margin11.04%
P/E Ratio4.7
ROE10.22%
ROA5.02%
Debt/Equity0.63
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$1.5B
Free Cash Flow$4.0B
Industry P/E15.2
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI28.5
Support$4.72
Resistance$5.52
MA 20$4.97
MA 50$5.45
MA 200$6.03
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.95
Valuation
Fair Value$390.00
Target Price$7.76
Upside/Downside64.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk assessment
Beta0.74
Volatility33.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.