MGY:NYSEMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation analysis
Data as of Sep 1, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $27.67
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
At $27.67, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. It has gained 10.3% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 58.9 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $23.65 and resistance at $28.38.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 12.1 versus a 21.8 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 18.8% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 50.1% on a 28.8% profit margin. The 2.46% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.5%, a beta of -0.40 and a maximum drawdown of 27.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 9 out of 10.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 12.1 versus a 21.8 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 18.8% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 50.1% on a 28.8% profit margin. The 2.46% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.5%, a beta of -0.40 and a maximum drawdown of 27.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 9 out of 10.
Top market events
- Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp MGY posts record quarterly production, raises full-year guidance, and announces accretive...
- Record production and free cash flow surge ahead of $4.
- Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp MGY delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +10.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 26.45
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of +10.3%
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 12.1 versus sector average of 21.8
- Trading above the 200-day average of 26.45
- Analyst targets imply +18.8% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence9/109 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 12.1 versus sector average of 21.8
- Analyst targets imply +18.8% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 28.8% is healthy
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth50.10%
Profit Margin28.77%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE20.85%
ROA11.79%
Debt/Equity19.24
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.0B
Free Cash Flow$332.5M
Industry P/E21.8
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.9
Support$23.65
Resistance$28.38
MA 20$26.45
MA 50$26.03
MA 200$26.45
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Valuation
Fair Value$46.97
Target Price$32.88
Upside/Downside18.84%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.46%
Risk assessment
Beta-0.40
Volatility42.50%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.