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MGROS:BISTMIGROS TICARET FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-26 - not real-time

TRY 555.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Migros Ticaret A.S. is priced at TRY 555.50, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have lost 9.7%. With RSI at 37.6 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at TRY 550.00 up to resistance at TRY 671.00.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 42.3%, a beta of -0.22 and a maximum drawdown of 23.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 615.67
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -9.7%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 615.67
  • 30-day volatility of 42.3%
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • 30-day volatility of 42.3%
  • Maximum drawdown of 23.8%
  • Beta of -0.22 versus the benchmark

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price555.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.6
SupportTRY 550.00
ResistanceTRY 671.00
MA 20TRY 601.63
MA 50TRY 633.95
MA 200TRY 615.68
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.84

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.22
Volatility42.30%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.