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MGIH:NASDAQMillennium Group International Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time

$1.44

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Millennium Group International is trading at $1.44, just above its 20‑day SMA ($1.42) and 50‑day SMA ($1.44) but well below the 200‑day SMA ($1.64), indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI sits at 52, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bearish, giving a mixed technical picture. Volume has been shrinking (current volume 444 vs 10‑day average 4,880) and 30‑day volatility is extreme at 56%, highlighting heightened price swings and liquidity concerns. Fundamentally, the company posted a 24% revenue decline, negative operating (‑29%) and profit margins (‑25%), and a trailing EPS of –$0.56, underscoring ongoing earnings pressure. Despite these challenges, the balance sheet shows $10.8 M of cash against $6.5 M of debt (debt‑to‑equity 26%), and valuation multiples are low (P/B 0.65, P/S 0.64), hinting at a potential floor price. However, negative operating cash flow, a 55% max drawdown, and a lack of dividend or analyst coverage amplify the risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish long‑term trend (price below 200‑day SMA)
  • Decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility
  • Negative earnings and cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Low valuation multiples (P/B 0.65, P/S 0.64)
  • Potential upside if turnaround occurs
  • Continued earnings and cash‑flow deficits

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to growing Asian packaging demand
  • Significant balance‑sheet cushion (cash > debt)
  • Persistent profitability and cash‑flow challenges

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-24.00%
Profit Margin-24.93%
ROE-22.57%
ROA-9.41%
Debt/Equity26.17
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$-1719389
Free Cash Flow$-2245890

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.6
Support$1.36
Resistance$1.61
MA 20$1.42
MA 50$1.44
MA 200$1.64
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility56.09%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.