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MFC:NYSEManulife Financial Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time

$38.63

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Manulife Financial (MFC) trades at $38.63, comfortably above its 20‑day ($35.48) and 200‑day ($33.72) simple moving averages, and the MACD indicator remains bullish (line > signal, histogram +0.49), suggesting lingering upward momentum. However, the RSI of 75 signals an overbought condition, the daily volume is trending down, and the price is flirting with the near‑term resistance around $39.02, which could prompt a short‑term pullback.
On the fundamentals side, the stock appears markedly undervalued: a forward P/E of 10.7 is well below the industry average of 17.5, the dividend yield sits at a healthy 3.4% with a 57% payout ratio, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $172.45 dwarfs the current price. Recent earnings momentum – an 8% rise in core EPS and >20% growth in Contractual Service Margin across the insurance segment – combined with a strong cash position ($32.1B) and manageable debt, supports a longer‑term buy case despite a modest revenue decline.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Price near resistance at $39.02
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E of 10.7 vs industry 17.5
  • Strong cash generation and 3.4% dividend yield
  • Recent 8% EPS growth and insurance CSM >20%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend with 57% payout ratio
  • Robust balance sheet and diversified geographic exposure
  • Revenue contraction risk offset by stable earnings and cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-34.90%
Profit Margin18.67%
P/E Ratio17.3
ROE11.49%
ROA0.54%
Debt/Equity48.35
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$32.1B
Free Cash Flow$20.8B
Industry P/E17.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI75.3
Support$33.49
Resistance$39.02
MA 20$35.48
MA 50$35.55
MA 200$33.72
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39

Valuation

Fair Value$172.45
Target Price$34.74
Upside/Downside-10.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.97
Volatility21.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.