M:BVBMed Life SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
$17.09
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Macy's shares are trading at $17.09, well below the 20‑day ($19.52) and 50‑day ($20.74) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness, while the 200‑day average ($17.54) also sits above the current price, suggesting a longer‑term downtrend. However, the RSI of 29 signals that the stock is oversold, and the recent increase in trading volume points to potential buying interest near the support level of $16.87. The MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, reinforcing momentum to the downside in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued: the DCF‑derived fair value of $28.16 implies roughly 25% upside, the price‑to‑earnings ratio is modest at 10x, and the dividend yield of 4.48% offers attractive income. Yet, revenue growth is flat (121%, which tempers the upside and raises concerns about financial flexibility.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued: the DCF‑derived fair value of $28.16 implies roughly 25% upside, the price‑to‑earnings ratio is modest at 10x, and the dividend yield of 4.48% offers attractive income. Yet, revenue growth is flat (121%, which tempers the upside and raises concerns about financial flexibility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in oversold territory suggests a possible rebound
- Price below key moving averages indicates continued downside pressure
- Proximity to technical support at $16.87
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to DCF fair value
- High dividend yield provides income cushion
- Elevated debt levels and weak revenue growth limit upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant upside potential versus fair value estimate
- Sustainable dividend payout with strong free cash flow
- Long‑term recovery prospects for consumer‑cyclical retail
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.20%
Profit Margin2.10%
P/E Ratio10.1
ROE11.26%
ROA3.22%
Debt/Equity121.14
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$1.6B
Free Cash Flow$897.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI29.0
Support$16.87
Resistance$23.01
MA 20$19.52
MA 50$20.74
MA 200$17.54
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.21
Valuation
Fair Value$28.16
Target Price$21.40
Upside/Downside25.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.48%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.50
Volatility49.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.