MFA:NYSEMFA Financial, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-19 - not real-time
$9.00
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At $9.00, MFA Financial, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 6.1% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 39.7 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bullish. Watch $8.85 as support and $9.62 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 8.9 versus a 32.4 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 55.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 20.2% on a 49.0% profit margin. The 16.00% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.5%, a beta of 0.60 and a maximum drawdown of 14.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 8.9 versus a 32.4 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 55.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 20.2% on a 49.0% profit margin. The 16.00% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.5%, a beta of 0.60 and a maximum drawdown of 14.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
MFA Financial, Inc. Plans Live Audio Webcast of Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference CallYahoo Finance1monBTIG Upgrades MFA Financial MFA , Expects Dividend Coverage to ImproveThe above button links to...On June 17, BTIG upgraded MFA Financial, Inc.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.61
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 8.9 versus sector average of 32.4
- Dividend yield of 16.00% looks stretched against payout coverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 8.9 versus sector average of 32.4
- Dividend yield of 16.00% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +55.6% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO3.6072201543134006
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.7
Support$8.85
Resistance$9.62
MA 20$9.16
MA 50$9.32
MA 200$9.61
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.86
Risk Assessment
Beta0.60
Volatility17.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.