MFA:NYSEMFA Financial, Inc. analysis
Data as of Sep 11, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $8.56
- Risk: medium
- 4/10Medium risk
Summary
At $8.56, MFA Financial, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 6.7% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 33.4 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch $8.55 as support and $9.29 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 8.6 versus a 30.7 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 63.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 20.2% on a 49.0% profit margin. The 16.46% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 16.3%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 17.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 8.6 versus a 30.7 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 63.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 20.2% on a 49.0% profit margin. The 16.46% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 16.3%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 17.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top market events
- With an annual dividend yield of 14.68%, MFA Financial, Inc. NYSE:MFA is included among the Top 10 Dividend Stocks with...
- Yahoo Finance2monBTIG Upgrades MFA Financial MFA , Expects Dividend Coverage to ImproveThe above button links to...
- Yahoo Finance1monMFA Financial, Inc. 6.50% Serie MFA-PC Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcriptMFA Financial delivered a...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.59
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 8.6 versus sector average of 30.7
- Dividend yield of 16.46% looks stretched against payout coverage
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 8.6 versus sector average of 30.7
- Dividend yield of 16.46% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +63.6% versus the current price
Key metrics
REIT metrics
P/FFO3.430867311092961
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.4
Support$8.55
Resistance$9.29
MA 20$8.90
MA 50$9.13
MA 200$9.59
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.57
Risk assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility16.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.