IRM:NYSEIron Mountain Incorporated (Delaware) Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$108.18
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Iron Mountain (IRM) is trading at $108.18, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $107.80 and well above the 50‑day ($97.01) and 200‑day ($96.47) averages, signaling a bullish price bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. The stock’s RSI of 59 suggests momentum remains moderate without being overbought, while the recent surge in volume‑adjusted price action reflects strong investor optimism. Revenue grew 16.6% year‑over‑year to $6.9 bn, and Q4 adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share of $1.44 beat consensus, driving a 9% intraday rally and underpinning the 3.23% dividend yield that is supported by a remarkably low payout ratio of just 6.6%. Operating margins of 21.9% and a gross margin above 55% demonstrate solid core profitability, though net profit margins remain thin at 2.1% and free cash flow is currently negative. The balance sheet carries $19.1 bn of debt against modest cash of $0.16 bn, resulting in a negative book value per share, which flags leverage concerns typical for specialty REITs. Nonetheless, the forward PE of 42.2 and a forward EPS of $2.56 indicate earnings improvement ahead, aligning with analyst consensus of a “Buy” and price targets averaging $126.
Market sentiment is buoyant, reflected by an “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear & Greed Index (81.6) and a modest upside potential of roughly 13.5% versus the DCF fair value of $23.3. While volatility remains high at 38% and volume trends are decreasing, the combination of robust revenue growth, dividend resilience, and positive earnings guidance positions IRM as an attractive play for investors seeking income and upside in the specialty REIT space.
Market sentiment is buoyant, reflected by an “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear & Greed Index (81.6) and a modest upside potential of roughly 13.5% versus the DCF fair value of $23.3. While volatility remains high at 38% and volume trends are decreasing, the combination of robust revenue growth, dividend resilience, and positive earnings guidance positions IRM as an attractive play for investors seeking income and upside in the specialty REIT space.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- AFFO beat and earnings momentum
- Price above key moving averages
- Dividend yield with low payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth trajectory
- Improving forward earnings estimates
- Leverage level requiring monitoring
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Stable dividend stream in a low‑interest‑rate environment
- Potential for strategic expansion of storage services
- Exposure to sector‑specific regulatory and market cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO23.883192077902006
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.0
Support$96.41
Resistance$115.24
MA 20$107.80
MA 50$97.01
MA 200$96.47
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.64
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility38.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.