METSO:OMXHEXMetso Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time
€15.46
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Metso is currently trading at €15.46, comfortably below its 20‑day (€16.69) and 50‑day (€16.50) simple moving averages, yet still above the 200‑day SMA of €13.30, which aligns with the system‑generated bullish trend direction. The RSI sits at 37, hinting at a modest oversold condition, while the MACD histogram remains negative, signaling short‑term bearish momentum. On the upside, volume is increasing and the price is hovering just above the identified support level of €15.19, suggesting a potential floor.
Fundamentally, the company posted 13% revenue growth, solid gross (32%) and operating (13%) margins, and a respectable ROE of 18%. Free cash flow of €645 m supports a 2.5% dividend yield with a 66% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics are attractive: the DCF fair value of €17.23 implies ~11% upside, the trailing PE of 26.6 is below the industry average of 29.1, and the forward PE of 17.7 further underscores a discount to future earnings.
Fundamentally, the company posted 13% revenue growth, solid gross (32%) and operating (13%) margins, and a respectable ROE of 18%. Free cash flow of €645 m supports a 2.5% dividend yield with a 66% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics are attractive: the DCF fair value of €17.23 implies ~11% upside, the trailing PE of 26.6 is below the industry average of 29.1, and the forward PE of 17.7 further underscores a discount to future earnings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with increasing volume
- Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
- Strong cash flow supporting dividend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth and margin expansion
- Attractive forward PE discount to industry
- Stable dividend yield and payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for aggregates and minerals processing
- Digitalization and service‑oriented business model
- Valuation gap providing upside while dividend remains reliable
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.40%
Profit Margin8.07%
P/E Ratio26.6
ROE18.38%
ROA6.39%
Debt/Equity59.88
P/B Ratio4.8
Op. Cash Flow€779.0M
Free Cash Flow€645.0M
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI37.5
Support€15.19
Resistance€17.91
MA 20€16.69
MA 50€16.50
MA 200€13.30
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value€17.23
Target Price€17.22
Upside/Downside11.43%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.47%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.56
Volatility37.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.