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METSO:OMXHEXMetso Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

€15.46

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Metso is currently trading at €15.46, comfortably below its 20‑day (€16.69) and 50‑day (€16.50) simple moving averages, yet still above the 200‑day SMA of €13.30, which aligns with the system‑generated bullish trend direction. The RSI sits at 37, hinting at a modest oversold condition, while the MACD histogram remains negative, signaling short‑term bearish momentum. On the upside, volume is increasing and the price is hovering just above the identified support level of €15.19, suggesting a potential floor.
Fundamentally, the company posted 13% revenue growth, solid gross (32%) and operating (13%) margins, and a respectable ROE of 18%. Free cash flow of €645 m supports a 2.5% dividend yield with a 66% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics are attractive: the DCF fair value of €17.23 implies ~11% upside, the trailing PE of 26.6 is below the industry average of 29.1, and the forward PE of 17.7 further underscores a discount to future earnings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with increasing volume
  • Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Strong cash flow supporting dividend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and margin expansion
  • Attractive forward PE discount to industry
  • Stable dividend yield and payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for aggregates and minerals processing
  • Digitalization and service‑oriented business model
  • Valuation gap providing upside while dividend remains reliable

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.40%
Profit Margin8.07%
P/E Ratio26.6
ROE18.38%
ROA6.39%
Debt/Equity59.88
P/B Ratio4.8
Op. Cash Flow€779.0M
Free Cash Flow€645.0M
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI37.5
Support€15.19
Resistance€17.91
MA 20€16.69
MA 50€16.50
MA 200€13.30
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value€17.23
Target Price€17.22
Upside/Downside11.43%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.56
Volatility37.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.