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MET:NYSEMetLife, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time

$77.09

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MetLife (MET) trades around $77.09, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 71.80 but still above the 50‑day SMA of 73.23, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer bearish trend. The RSI of 67.1 suggests the stock is approaching overbought levels, while the MACD histogram remains positive (0.94) and the MACD signal is bullish, creating a mixed technical picture. Price action hovers near the identified support at $67.33 and just below the resistance around $78.13, leaving limited upside in the near term. Fundamentally, MET shows robust revenue growth of 27.6% and a PE of 16.37, which is below the industry average of 17.55, pointing to relative undervaluation. The discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair value of roughly $614, translating to an upside of about 15.5% versus the current market price. Analysts are broadly positive, with a consensus “buy” rating and a median target price near $89, reinforcing the value case.
Dividend yield stands at 2.94% with a payout ratio under 50%, but free cash flow is negative, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. The stock’s beta of around 1.1 and 30‑day volatility exceeding 24% signal heightened market sensitivity. Debt levels are high (debt‑to‑equity > 200%), which could constrain future earnings if interest rates rise. Overall, the combination of a modest technical bullish signal, strong growth fundamentals, and a sizable valuation gap makes MET attractive for investors willing to tolerate higher risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with overbought RSI
  • Bearish trend direction and decreasing volume
  • Positive MACD but limited near‑term upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers and DCF upside
  • Strong revenue growth and favorable analyst consensus
  • Attractive dividend yield despite cash‑flow concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained earnings potential from diversified insurance segments
  • Long‑term value gap with fair‑value estimate far above market price
  • Resilience of dividend policy and potential for balance‑sheet deleveraging

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.60%
Profit Margin4.38%
P/E Ratio16.4
ROE12.02%
ROA0.46%
Debt/Equity225.97
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$17.1B
Free Cash Flow$-12738499584
Industry P/E17.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI67.1
Support$67.33
Resistance$78.13
MA 20$71.80
MA 50$73.23
MA 200$77.41
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39

Valuation

Fair Value$614.53
Target Price$89.06
Upside/Downside15.53%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.11
Volatility24.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.