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MER:PSEManila Electric Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

$1.61

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading above both its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, with momentum indicators showing a neutral‑to‑slightly‑bearish bias – RSI sits in the upper half of the neutral zone and the MACD histogram is marginally negative. Volume is on an upward trend, supporting the current bullish market direction, while the price remains close to a identified support level and has upside toward a clear resistance zone.
Valuation and sentiment: A price‑to‑book ratio below one suggests the market may be undervaluing the company’s net assets, and the Fear‑Greed Index is in the “Greed” region, indicating bullish sentiment. Recent material news – notably Water Tower Research’s initiation of coverage highlighting West Africa assets, the company’s 2025 financial disclosures, and announced offshore drilling plans for 2026 – provide a narrative of operational expansion that could unlock further value.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near immediate support with limited upside
  • MACD bearish crossover signaling short‑term caution
  • Increasing volume but volatility remains elevated

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical alignment above key moving averages
  • Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio
  • Positive news flow on offshore growth and asset base

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic exposure to West African energy assets
  • Low beta indicating defensive market behavior
  • Potential for earnings upside as 2026 drilling plans materialize

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/B Ratio0.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.6
Support$1.50
Resistance$1.78
MA 20$1.62
MA 50$1.52
MA 200$1.34
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.25
Volatility49.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.