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MDXH:NASDAQMDxHealth SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time

$2.20

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

MDxHealth SA (MDXH) trades at $2.20, well below its 20‑day SMA of $2.43 and the analyst median target of $7.0, indicating a sizable valuation gap. The stock’s RSI of 33 points to near‑oversold conditions, while the MACD line has just crossed above its signal line, generating a bullish signal. Support sits at $1.96 and resistance at $3.29, giving the price a modest cushion above the nearest floor. Revenue grew 19% YoY to $108 M with a strong 64.5% gross margin, but operating margins remain deeply negative (‑18%) and cash conversion is negative. The balance sheet shows $86.6 M of debt against $29.1 M of cash, resulting in a high leverage profile and a negative book value per share. Volatility is elevated at 60% over the past 30 days and beta of ~1.8 signals heightened sensitivity to market swings. The recent Oxford ProMPT study presented at EAU 2026 validated the Genomic Prostate Score, a key product that could accelerate adoption across Europe and the U.S.
Analysts (5) have issued a “strong buy” consensus with a mean price target of $7.4, implying a potential upside of over 200%. The company’s price‑to‑sales multiple of ~1.0 is modest relative to the industry average, yet the negative earnings and free‑cash‑flow deficits underscore execution risk. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors have no yield cushion. Regulatory approval pathways for diagnostic assays remain a key hurdle, but the partnership with the University of Oxford adds credibility. Geographic exposure spans the U.S. and Europe, diversifying revenue sources but introducing currency considerations. Given the blend of near‑term technical support and long‑term growth catalysts, the stock presents a high‑risk, high‑reward profile. Investors should weigh the upside potential against the substantial earnings and liquidity challenges before committing capital.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover
  • RSI near oversold suggesting price floor
  • Price above immediate support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Positive clinical validation from Oxford ProMPT study
  • Revenue growth of 19% and strong gross margin
  • Analyst consensus strong buy with >200% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic partnership with University of Oxford
  • Large valuation gap to target price
  • High beta and volatility imply risk but also market‑driven upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.40%
Profit Margin-31.07%
P/E Ratio-16.9
ROE-2440.41%
ROA-5.90%
P/B Ratio-9.4
Op. Cash Flow$-2189000
Free Cash Flow$-3658000
Industry P/E25.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.0
Support$1.96
Resistance$3.29
MA 20$2.43
MA 50$3.04
MA 200$3.40
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.39

Valuation

Target Price$7.40
Upside/Downside236.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.80
Volatility60.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.