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MCX:NSEMulti Commodity Exchange of India Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

₹2,498.80

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading comfortably above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages, with a bullish MACD crossover and an RSI sitting in the mid‑50s, indicating continued upward momentum and no immediate over‑bought pressure. Support around the low‑2100s and resistance near the high‑2600s frame the price action, while a stable volume trend and a low beta suggest limited price swings relative to the broader market.
Fundamentally, MCX boasts exceptional gross and operating margins, a massive cash pile and negligible debt, but its trailing PE is dramatically higher than the industry average and the price‑to‑book multiple is well above peers. The modest dividend yield and a payout ratio of roughly one‑quarter of earnings appear sustainable, and the recent removal of extra margins on gold and silver futures sparked a short‑term rally, reinforcing a positive sentiment catalyst despite a generally elevated valuation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup with MACD and price above key moving averages
  • Positive news catalyst from margin removal on gold and silver futures
  • Stable volume and low beta limiting downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong profitability and cash generation supporting operational resilience
  • Valuation still premium relative to industry peers
  • Moderate sector and regulatory risk balanced by low geographic and currency exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend despite modest yield
  • Potential for valuation compression as market re‑rates high‑multiple exchanges
  • Continued regulatory oversight and competitive pressures in the commodity exchange space

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth114.90%
Profit Margin51.72%
P/E Ratio100.0
Debt/Equity0.02
P/B Ratio20.4
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.0
Support₹2,168.00
Resistance₹2,623.90
MA 20₹2,449.21
MA 50₹2,402.63
MA 200₹1,899.27
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price₹2,851.09
Upside/Downside14.10%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.24%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.25
Volatility48.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.