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MAZE:NASDAQMaze Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$24.50

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Maze Therapeutics is trading at $24.5, well below its 20‑day (≈$26.1), 50‑day (≈$32.6) and 200‑day (≈$32.6) moving averages, indicating a short‑term price weakness but also a potential bounce off the identified support at $24.16. The RSI of 34 points to an oversold condition, while the MACD histogram is positive, signaling a nascent bullish momentum. However, the stock exhibits high 30‑day volatility (~43%) and a beta of 1.24, underscoring pronounced price swings relative to the market. Fundamentally, the company reports negligible revenue growth, negative operating margins and cash flow, and a lofty price‑to‑sales multiple of ~68, suggesting the current price may be stretched relative to its financial performance. Nevertheless, the recent $150 million equity raise at $23.50 per share bolsters the balance sheet, and a positive Phase 2 trial readout for MZE829 provides a credible catalyst for future upside.
Analyst sentiment is extremely bullish, with a consensus “strong buy” rating and target prices averaging $55‑$62, reflecting confidence in the pipeline’s long‑term value despite near‑term execution risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with oversold RSI
  • Positive MACD divergence indicating early bullish momentum
  • Recent cash infusion reducing immediate financing risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Pending Phase 2/Phase 3 trial readouts that could swing valuation
  • Dilution impact from the $150 M equity offering
  • Continued negative cash flow and high valuation multiples

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term market opportunity in APOL1‑mediated kidney disease
  • Strong cash position post‑offering supporting runway for development
  • Analyst consensus and elevated target price reflecting growth potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-7.6
ROE-38.67%
ROA-22.27%
Debt/Equity17.92
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$-121537000
Free Cash Flow$-81703128
Industry P/E26.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.1
Support$24.16
Resistance$29.08
MA 20$26.10
MA 50$32.61
MA 200$32.59
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.29

Valuation

Target Price$62.55
Upside/Downside155.29%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.24
Volatility43.28%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.