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IMMP:NASDAQImmutep Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-10 - not real-time

$0.32

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Immutep (IMMP) is trading at $0.3169, barely above its calculated support of $0.3159 and well below its 20‑day SMA of 0.38, indicating a fragile price floor. The RSI of 11.6 signals extreme oversold conditions, yet the 14‑day MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is labeled bullish, suggesting a possible short‑term bounce that is constrained by a broader bearish trend and a 30‑day volatility of over 500%. Fundamental metrics are distressing: the company reports negative operating margins, a trailing EPS of –$0.41, and a cash‑burn of >$60 M, while its price‑to‑book ratio sits at 6.8×, far above the sector norm, implying the stock is currently overvalued. Recent material news highlights two critical headwinds – a halted Phase III TACTI‑004 trial after a futility analysis and an emerging securities‑fraud lawsuit that could expose the firm to significant legal liabilities. Together, the technical weakness, deteriorating fundamentals, high volatility, and litigation risk create a precarious short‑term outlook, though the pipeline’s long‑term upside remains a speculative catalyst.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering at technical support with bearish SMA alignment
  • Negative operating cash flow and mounting legal exposure
  • Decreasing volume and extreme short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside from remaining pipeline candidates if trials succeed
  • Continued cash constraints limiting operational flexibility
  • Uncertainty around litigation outcome and its impact on market perception

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic LAG‑3 immunotherapy platform with partnership potential
  • Long‑run valuation could improve if Phase III data turn favorable
  • Current low price offers a high‑risk, high‑reward entry point

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth91.50%
P/E Ratio-1.4
ROE-61.85%
ROA-32.10%
Debt/Equity1.22
P/B Ratio6.8
Op. Cash Flow$-62152988
Free Cash Flow$-35678096
Industry P/E26.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI11.6
Support$0.32
Resistance$0.56
MA 20$0.38
MA 50$1.81
MA 200$1.97
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.66

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.21
Volatility506.55%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.