MATW:NASDAQMatthews International Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-16 - not real-time
$26.69
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Matthews International (MATW) trades around $26.69, just above its 20‑day SMA ($25.65) and 50‑day SMA ($25.91) but below the 200‑day SMA ($25.14), indicating a mixed short‑term bias. Technicals show a modestly bullish MACD histogram (+0.21) and an RSI of 58.8, suggesting the stock isn’t overbought yet, yet volume is trending down and price sits near the identified resistance of $27.30. Fundamentally, the company is struggling: revenue is down 29% YoY, operating margin is negative (-4.5%), and operating cash flow is a deficit of $50.5 M, while debt‑to‑equity sits at a high 108%. The dividend yield looks attractive at 3.78% but the payout ratio exceeds 140%, raising concerns about sustainability. The DCF‑derived fair value of $23.17 is well below the current market price, implying the stock is overvalued despite a reported upside of 42% versus downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram but price near resistance
- Decreasing volume and neutral trend
- Attractive dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Continued revenue decline and negative operating cash flow
- High leverage (debt‑to‑equity >100%)
- Current price exceeds DCF fair value and industry PE
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Structural earnings weakness and margin compression
- Dividend sustainability concerns
- Valuation gap suggests limited upside potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-29.10%
Profit Margin1.64%
P/E Ratio37.6
ROE4.73%
ROA0.82%
Debt/Equity108.36
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$-50533000
Free Cash Flow$94.0M
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.8
Support$23.75
Resistance$27.30
MA 20$25.65
MA 50$25.91
MA 200$25.14
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.98
Valuation
Fair Value$23.17
Target Price$38.00
Upside/Downside42.38%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.78%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.97
Volatility25.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.