MATW:NASDAQMatthews International Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-23 - not real-time
$26.12
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Matthews International trades well above its discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating a substantial valuation gap despite a modest dividend yield. The stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple is dramatically higher than the industry average and forward earnings suggest a potential compression, while revenue has contracted sharply and operating margins are razor‑thin.
Technical measures show a neutral trend with a slight bullish MACD histogram, but the RSI hovers around the midpoint and volume is rising, hinting at mixed short‑term sentiment. Combined with high leverage, a negative operating cash flow, and an unsustainable payout ratio, the outlook leans toward caution across horizons.
Technical measures show a neutral trend with a slight bullish MACD histogram, but the RSI hovers around the midpoint and volume is rising, hinting at mixed short‑term sentiment. Combined with high leverage, a negative operating cash flow, and an unsustainable payout ratio, the outlook leans toward caution across horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical stance with slight bullish MACD
- Current price far above DCF valuation
- Increasing volume but limited upside near resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Persistent revenue decline and thin margins
- High valuation relative to peers and forward earnings
- Debt load and unsustainable dividend payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Structural overvaluation and weak cash generation
- Elevated leverage limiting financial flexibility
- Dividend yield unlikely to be maintained
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-39.50%
Profit Margin0.80%
P/E Ratio87.1
ROE2.11%
ROA0.69%
Debt/Equity124.30
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow$-72299000
Free Cash Flow$80.1M
Industry P/E31.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.5
Support$24.60
Resistance$28.01
MA 20$26.19
MA 50$27.02
MA 200$25.75
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.16
Valuation
Fair Value$14.69
Target Price$38.00
Upside/Downside45.48%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.93
Volatility27.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.