MAT:NASDAQMattel, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 5, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $15.32
- Risk: medium
- 6/10Medium risk
Summary
Mattel, Inc. is priced at $15.31 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. It has gained 5.5% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 65.3 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $12.40 and resistance at $17.23.
The shares look undervalued at 11.3 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 18.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 10.5% on a 7.8% profit margin.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 59.0%, a beta of 0.65 and a maximum drawdown of 42.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
The shares look undervalued at 11.3 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 18.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 10.5% on a 7.8% profit margin.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 59.0%, a beta of 0.65 and a maximum drawdown of 42.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
Top market events
- Toy manufacturing and entertainment company NASDAQ:MAT reported Q2 CY2026 results exceeding the market’s revenue...
- Toy manufacturing and entertainment company NASDAQ:MAT reported Q2 CY2026 results exceeding the market’s revenue...
- Investing.com -- Mattel Inc NASDAQ:MAT shares fell 3% in premarket trading on Wednesday following the announcement that...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 15.86
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 15.86
- Analyst targets imply +18.6% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Analyst targets imply +18.6% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +10.5%
- P/E ratio of 11.3
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin7.79%
P/E Ratio11.3
ROE20.50%
ROA4.73%
Debt/Equity137.44
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$666.4M
Free Cash Flow$425.3M
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI65.3
Support$12.40
Resistance$17.23
MA 20$13.68
MA 50$14.37
MA 200$15.86
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.57
Valuation
Fair Value$19.67
Target Price$18.17
Upside/Downside18.62%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta0.65
Volatility58.95%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.