MANU:NYSEManchester Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-10 - not real-time
$22.61
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Manchester United plc is trading at $22.61, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 20.63 and the 50‑day SMA of 18.92, confirming a bullish price trend. The 20‑day SMA also sits above the 200‑day SMA of 17.10, reinforcing the medium‑term uptrend. Momentum indicators are supportive, with an RSI of 63 indicating strength without being overbought and a bullish MACD histogram of 0.12. Volume is on an increasing trend, and the stock is holding above its nearest support at $18.43 while still below the resistance near $24.22, suggesting upside potential. The 30‑day volatility is high at roughly 64%, reflecting sizable price swings that could amplify short‑term moves.
Fundamentally, the club posted a revenue increase of 18% and maintains an impressive gross margin of 83%, yet profitability remains a concern with a negative profit margin and a ROE of –9.6%. Debt is substantial at $756 M, driving a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 400, and cash generation is modest, with free cash flow barely above $2 M. The forward PE of 154 vastly exceeds the industry average of 17, indicating significant overvaluation. Recent Q3 results beat expectations, delivering an adjusted EPS of £0.03 and propelling the share price up 7.6% in pre‑market trading, providing a short‑term catalyst despite the broader financial headwinds.
Fundamentally, the club posted a revenue increase of 18% and maintains an impressive gross margin of 83%, yet profitability remains a concern with a negative profit margin and a ROE of –9.6%. Debt is substantial at $756 M, driving a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 400, and cash generation is modest, with free cash flow barely above $2 M. The forward PE of 154 vastly exceeds the industry average of 17, indicating significant overvaluation. Recent Q3 results beat expectations, delivering an adjusted EPS of £0.03 and propelling the share price up 7.6% in pre‑market trading, providing a short‑term catalyst despite the broader financial headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technicals (SMA alignment, MACD, RSI)
- Earnings beat and strong pre‑market price reaction
- Increasing volume supporting momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High valuation relative to peers
- Weak profitability and high leverage
- Continued revenue growth but limited cash conversion
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Severe overvaluation (forward PE ~154)
- Elevated debt burden and negative ROE
- Volatile earnings and limited dividend upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin-2.65%
P/E Ratio154.2
ROE-9.62%
ROA0.02%
Debt/Equity421.36
P/B Ratio15.4
Op. Cash Flow$114.9M
Free Cash Flow$2.4M
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.5
Support$18.43
Resistance$24.22
MA 20$20.63
MA 50$18.92
MA 200$17.10
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.27
Valuation
Target Price$25.88
Upside/Downside14.46%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.01
Volatility63.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.