MAC:NYSEMacerich Company (The) Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
$22.49
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is currently trading at $22.49, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of 21.92 and the 50‑day SMA of 20.83, with a bullish trend direction and a RSI of 59.5 suggesting room for upside before overbought conditions. Volume is increasing, volatility sits at a high 27.5%, and the price is perched near the resistance level of 22.72 while respecting a support of 21.21. The dividend yield of 3.02% and a payout ratio of 188.9% provide attractive income, though the elevated beta of ~1.13 indicates moderate market sensitivity.
Fundamentally, MAC posted revenue of $1.02 B down 6.7% YoY, a negative profit margin of -17.9% and a trailing EPS loss of -0.72. Adjusted funds from operations improved to $0.34 per share and free cash flow stands at $0.40 B, offsetting a massive debt load of $4.998 B (debt‑to‑equity ~199). The DCF fair value of $1.50 versus the market price signals a sizable overvaluation (downside ~23%), and a forward PE of 749.7 underscores earnings weakness. Recent Q1 2026 news highlights leasing momentum, a growing signed‑not‑open pipeline and new acquisition activity, while a 16 M share public offering introduces dilution risk.
Fundamentally, MAC posted revenue of $1.02 B down 6.7% YoY, a negative profit margin of -17.9% and a trailing EPS loss of -0.72. Adjusted funds from operations improved to $0.34 per share and free cash flow stands at $0.40 B, offsetting a massive debt load of $4.998 B (debt‑to‑equity ~199). The DCF fair value of $1.50 versus the market price signals a sizable overvaluation (downside ~23%), and a forward PE of 749.7 underscores earnings weakness. Recent Q1 2026 news highlights leasing momentum, a growing signed‑not‑open pipeline and new acquisition activity, while a 16 M share public offering introduces dilution risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical positioning near support
- Attractive 3.02% dividend yield
- Recent leasing momentum supporting cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High debt load and negative earnings
- Significant overvaluation versus DCF fair value
- Potential dilution from the 16 M share public offering
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained structural challenges in retail REIT space
- Excessive payout ratio relative to earnings
- Need for portfolio repositioning to mitigate debt burden
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO21.363088556183506
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.5
Support$21.21
Resistance$22.72
MA 20$21.92
MA 50$20.83
MA 200$18.79
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.05
Risk Assessment
Beta1.13
Volatility27.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.