LXFR:NYSELuxfer Holdings PLC Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-16 - not real-time
$13.05
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Luxfer Holdings (LXFR) trades at $13.05, hovering just above the computed support of $11.26 and slightly below its 20‑day SMA of $12.42, indicating a tight price corridor. Technical signals are mixed: the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits at a neutral 55, suggesting limited upside momentum but no immediate oversold condition. Fundamentally, the stock offers an attractive 3.9% dividend yield, yet the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The DCF model values the company at $12.61, implying modest undervaluation, but the computed upside of roughly 30% reflects market optimism despite a high 30‑day volatility of 35% and a beta above 1, signaling elevated market risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with limited upside
- Bullish MACD but high short‑term volatility
- Dividend payout ratio >100% raises near‑term sustainability concerns
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF implied undervaluation and 30% upside potential
- Strong dividend yield if payout can be normalized
- Recovery in aerospace and specialty materials demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic positioning in high‑growth sectors like aerospace, defense, and advanced materials
- Potential for margin improvement as operating efficiencies are realized
- Diversified global footprint mitigates single‑region shocks
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-12.30%
Profit Margin2.00%
P/E Ratio27.2
ROE5.88%
ROA6.03%
Debt/Equity22.79
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$34.0M
Free Cash Flow$27.9M
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.4
Support$11.26
Resistance$13.56
MA 20$12.42
MA 50$13.32
MA 200$13.22
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.98
Valuation
Fair Value$12.61
Target Price$17.00
Upside/Downside30.27%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.31
Volatility35.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.