LVWR:NYSELiveWire Group, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 3, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $1.57
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
LiveWire Group, Inc. trades at $1.57, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 38.9%. Relative strength is 58.7 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Watch $1.07 as support and $1.77 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is growing at 55.2% on a -234.5% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 107.3%, a beta of 0.92 and a maximum drawdown of 89.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 6/10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is growing at 55.2% on a -234.5% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 107.3%, a beta of 0.92 and a maximum drawdown of 89.6%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 6/10.
Top market events
- Updated Jul 23, 2026 0 MILWAUKEE-- BUSINESS WIRE --Jul 23, 2026-- LiveWire Group, Inc.
- LiveWire Group Inc. LVWR shares jumped 58.44% to $1.22 in after-hours trading on Thursday after the electric motorcycle...
- LiveWire Group Inc LVWR reports a 52% revenue increase, driven by electric motorcycle sales, while navigating market...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.82
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.82
- 30-day volatility of 107.3%
Long term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Negative profit margin of -234.5%
- Negative return on equity of -160.2%
- Revenue growth of +55.2%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth55.20%
Profit Margin-234.48%
P/E Ratio-5.1
ROE-160.16%
ROA-39.42%
Debt/Equity648.52
P/B Ratio27.1
Op. Cash Flow$-47587000
Free Cash Flow$-32923750
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI58.7
Support$1.07
Resistance$1.77
MA 20$1.37
MA 50$1.39
MA 200$1.82
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.09
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk assessment
Beta0.92
Volatility107.29%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.