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LVWR:NYSELiveWire Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

$1.48

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading below its short‑term moving average while the short‑term average remains under the mid‑term average, signaling a bearish price trend. The relative strength index sits near the midpoint, indicating neither extreme overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD line trails its signal line and the histogram is slightly negative, reinforcing downside momentum. Beta is well above one, suggesting amplified swings relative to the broader market. Volatility over the past month is extreme, reflecting large price swings. Valuation multiples such as price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales are markedly elevated despite negative earnings per share and a negative forward price‑to‑earnings ratio. Gross margin and operating margin are both negative, underscoring ongoing profitability challenges. Operating cash flow is negative, though the balance sheet shows cash reserves that exceed total debt, providing a modest liquidity cushion. The current price hovers just above a technical support level and well below a clear resistance zone.
Recent news highlights the acquisition of Dust Moto, which adds off‑road expertise and could broaden the product portfolio. The Q1 earnings call reported a solid increase in retail sales in North America, driven by aggressive inventory management. However, analysts note that cash is projected to last only a few quarters under current burn rates, raising concerns about near‑term solvency.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical indicators
  • negative earnings and cash flow
  • high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • potential upside from Dust Moto acquisition
  • revenue growth momentum
  • cash cushion despite operating losses

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term EV market expansion
  • persistent profitability challenges
  • elevated valuation multiples

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth86.50%
Profit Margin-263.77%
P/E Ratio-4.8
ROE-117.87%
ROA-35.41%
Debt/Equity264.13
P/B Ratio10.7
Op. Cash Flow$-49052000
Free Cash Flow$-29164250

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.3
Support$1.27
Resistance$2.00
MA 20$1.54
MA 50$1.62
MA 200$3.31
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.29

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.38
Volatility85.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.