LUNR:NASDAQIntuitive Machines, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-31 - not real-time
$43.83
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) is riding a wave of sector enthusiasm – the stock sits at $43.83, just below its 52‑week high of $46.75 and comfortably above the calculated support of $23.62. Technicals are bullish: the 20‑day SMA (33.14) is above the 50‑day SMA (27.10) and the 200‑day SMA (16.82), the MACD histogram is positive (0.99) and the signal line is bullish, while volume is on an upward trend. However, the RSI of 69 signals the stock is nearing overbought territory and the 30‑day volatility of 115% plus a computed beta of 3.44 underscore a very high price swing risk. Fundamentally, the company remains loss‑making – operating margin is –10.3%, profit margin –32.7%, and cash flow is negative, with a price‑to‑sales ratio of 21 and a negative book value per share. Recent material news – a $180.4 million NASA lunar mission contract, a Cantor upgrade, and sector‑wide momentum from the anticipated SpaceX IPO – provide short‑term catalysts, but the underlying financial health still requires a turnaround.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent NASA contract and Cantor upgrade boost sentiment
- Bullish technical setup but RSI near overbought
- Extreme volatility and high beta increase downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Growing backlog of government and commercial space contracts
- Sector momentum from SpaceX IPO speculation
- Technical indicators remain bullish with increasing volume
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Need to convert revenue growth into positive cash flow and profitability
- Valuation remains high relative to earnings and book value
- Dependence on government funding and execution risk of lunar missions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth198.70%
Profit Margin-32.69%
P/E Ratio-365.3
ROE-30.29%
ROA-5.43%
Debt/Equity62.25
P/B Ratio-21.0
Op. Cash Flow$-88505000
Free Cash Flow$-32115124
Industry P/E29.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI69.1
Support$23.62
Resistance$46.75
MA 20$33.14
MA 50$27.10
MA 200$16.82
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07
Valuation
Target Price$40.78
Upside/Downside-6.96%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.44
Volatility115.89%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.