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LUMI:TASEBank Leumi Le-Israel B.M. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-30 - not real-time

SEK 278.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical momentum is firmly bullish – the price sits above both short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, the MACD line is above its signal and the histogram remains positive, while the RSI is comfortably in the upper half of its range. Fundamentally, the quarter delivered robust copper production at low cash cost, strong revenue growth and healthy free cash flow, which bolstered the net cash position. The company also announced a regular dividend, maintaining a very low payout ratio that underscores sustainability.
Despite these positives, the market price is well above the discounted cash‑flow estimate and valuation multiples such as price‑to‑book are elevated, suggesting the stock is currently priced for optimism. Combined with a high 30‑day volatility profile and a decreasing volume trend, investors should weigh the upside potential against the valuation premium and sector cyclicality.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators
  • Strong quarterly cash flow
  • Current price above fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained copper demand driving growth
  • Improving cash position and low dividend payout
  • Technical trend remaining positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term exposure to copper as a key metal for energy transition
  • Solid operating margins and cash generation
  • Management’s track record of disciplined capital allocation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth26.00%
Profit Margin33.55%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE22.18%
ROA8.42%
Debt/Equity6.22
P/B Ratio34.8
Op. Cash FlowSEK1.7B
Free Cash FlowSEK1.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.4
SupportSEK 227.70
ResistanceSEK 281.20
MA 20SEK 257.38
MA 50SEK 247.27
MA 200SEK 193.83
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Valuation

Fair ValueSEK 75.18
Target PriceSEK 249.18
Upside/Downside-10.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.27%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility51.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.