LREN3:BMFBOVESPALojas Renner S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
ARS 4,150.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: LREN3 is trading at 4,150, which sits below the 20‑day SMA (4,327.6) and the 50‑day SMA (4,177.2) but above the 200‑day SMA (4,096.8), indicating a price that is still within the longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 45.8 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative (‑20.36) and the signal line is bearish, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. Volume is increasing, supporting the bullish trend direction noted in the data, yet the 30‑day volatility is high at 53.7%, reflecting a potentially choppy price environment.
Fundamental backdrop: The company shows solid profitability with a gross margin of 61.7% and an operating margin of 16.3%, alongside a respectable ROE of 13.7%. Revenue growth is modest at 4.8% YoY, and the balance sheet is balanced with a debt‑to‑equity of 27.6% and ample cash (≈1.9 bn). The price‑to‑book ratio of 1.47 aligns with a fair valuation, while the absence of dividends points to a growth‑oriented capital allocation strategy.
Fundamental backdrop: The company shows solid profitability with a gross margin of 61.7% and an operating margin of 16.3%, alongside a respectable ROE of 13.7%. Revenue growth is modest at 4.8% YoY, and the balance sheet is balanced with a debt‑to‑equity of 27.6% and ample cash (≈1.9 bn). The price‑to‑book ratio of 1.47 aligns with a fair valuation, while the absence of dividends points to a growth‑oriented capital allocation strategy.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support (4,007.5) with bullish trend direction
- Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term downside risk
- Increasing volume supporting price stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong profit margins and ROE above 13%
- Low beta (0.21) suggesting limited market‑wide volatility
- Fair valuation (P/B 1.47) with solid cash generation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Exposure to Argentine peso and regional currency fluctuations
- High 30‑day price volatility (≈54%)
- Sustainable growth but no dividend yield to offset risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.80%
Profit Margin9.21%
ROE13.73%
ROA5.95%
Debt/Equity27.59
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowARS2.8B
Free Cash FlowARS1.6B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.8
SupportARS 4,007.50
ResistanceARS 4,647.50
MA 20ARS 4,327.63
MA 50ARS 4,177.20
MA 200ARS 4,096.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility53.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.