LODHA:NSELODHA FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
₹1,243.95
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
LODHA Developers Limited is trading at 1,243.95 INR, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (1,189.4) and 50‑day SMA (1,029.2), indicating a strong bullish bias. The 14‑day RSI at 63.3 suggests upward momentum without being overbought, while the MACD histogram remains positive (+2.70) reinforcing the bullish trend. Volume is stable and the stock sits near a solid support level around 1,049 INR, offering downside protection if the market pulls back. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 30.2 and a price‑to‑book of 5.34, reflecting premium pricing but justified by growth expectations in the Indian real‑estate sector. Market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level (92.88 on the Fear‑Greed Index), which could fuel short‑term buying pressure. However, the 30‑day volatility is high at 45.6 % and the max drawdown of –47.9 % underscores the inherent risk in the sector.
Given these dynamics, investors should view LODHA as a medium‑to‑long‑term play with a bullish outlook, while remaining cautious of short‑term pullbacks driven by broader market corrections or interest‑rate shifts.
Given these dynamics, investors should view LODHA as a medium‑to‑long‑term play with a bullish outlook, while remaining cautious of short‑term pullbacks driven by broader market corrections or interest‑rate shifts.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD and RSI indicating continued momentum
- Stable volume and proximity to strong support
- High market greed could trigger short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish trend confirmed by SMA crossovers
- Favorable valuation relative to growth prospects
- Strong demand fundamentals in Indian residential real estate
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained urbanization driving long‑term demand
- Robust balance sheet and market‑leadership position
- Resilience to currency fluctuations and limited geopolitical exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1243.95
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityHigh
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.3
Support₹1,049.10
Resistance₹1,344.95
MA 20₹1,189.40
MA 50₹1,029.21
MA 200₹1,014.65
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.47
Volatility45.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.