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LODHA:NSELODHA FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

₹1,243.95

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LODHA Developers Limited is trading at 1,243.95 INR, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (1,189.4) and 50‑day SMA (1,029.2), indicating a strong bullish bias. The 14‑day RSI at 63.3 suggests upward momentum without being overbought, while the MACD histogram remains positive (+2.70) reinforcing the bullish trend. Volume is stable and the stock sits near a solid support level around 1,049 INR, offering downside protection if the market pulls back. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 30.2 and a price‑to‑book of 5.34, reflecting premium pricing but justified by growth expectations in the Indian real‑estate sector. Market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level (92.88 on the Fear‑Greed Index), which could fuel short‑term buying pressure. However, the 30‑day volatility is high at 45.6 % and the max drawdown of –47.9 % underscores the inherent risk in the sector.
Given these dynamics, investors should view LODHA as a medium‑to‑long‑term play with a bullish outlook, while remaining cautious of short‑term pullbacks driven by broader market corrections or interest‑rate shifts.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD and RSI indicating continued momentum
  • Stable volume and proximity to strong support
  • High market greed could trigger short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish trend confirmed by SMA crossovers
  • Favorable valuation relative to growth prospects
  • Strong demand fundamentals in Indian residential real estate

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained urbanization driving long‑term demand
  • Robust balance sheet and market‑leadership position
  • Resilience to currency fluctuations and limited geopolitical exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1243.95
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityHigh
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.3
Support₹1,049.10
Resistance₹1,344.95
MA 20₹1,189.40
MA 50₹1,029.21
MA 200₹1,014.65
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.47
Volatility45.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.