LND:NYSEBrasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-28 - not real-time
$3.57
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fundamental pressure is evident as the company reports negative revenue growth, thin gross margins and operating losses, while debt relative to equity remains elevated and the payout ratio exceeds 100%, casting doubt on dividend sustainability. Technical signals reinforce a bearish outlook: the short‑term moving average sits below the longer‑term averages, the MACD histogram is negative, and RSI is lingering in the low‑mid 30s, suggesting limited upside momentum.
The current market price trades well above the discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating the stock is overvalued, and the 30‑day volatility approaching the low‑20% range adds to the risk profile. Nonetheless, a sub‑1.0 price‑to‑book ratio and a dividend yield near 4% may attract value‑oriented investors if the company can stabilize earnings and reduce leverage.
The current market price trades well above the discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating the stock is overvalued, and the 30‑day volatility approaching the low‑20% range adds to the risk profile. Nonetheless, a sub‑1.0 price‑to‑book ratio and a dividend yield near 4% may attract value‑oriented investors if the company can stabilize earnings and reduce leverage.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators
- Negative earnings and cash‑flow
- Current price above intrinsic value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential stabilization of commodity prices
- Attractive dividend yield if payout can be adjusted
- Low beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term agricultural demand fundamentals
- Opportunity for balance‑sheet improvement
- Value‑oriented pricing if market corrects
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-15.50%
Profit Margin-1.57%
ROE-0.70%
ROA-1.96%
Debt/Equity70.74
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$157.2M
Free Cash Flow$-162346256
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.8
Support$3.48
Resistance$3.86
MA 20$3.67
MA 50$3.79
MA 200$3.84
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Valuation
Fair Value$1.18
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.95%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.64
Volatility21.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.