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LND:NYSEBrasilagro Brazilian Agric Real Estate Co Sponsored Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-28 - not real-time

$3.57

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fundamental pressure is evident as the company reports negative revenue growth, thin gross margins and operating losses, while debt relative to equity remains elevated and the payout ratio exceeds 100%, casting doubt on dividend sustainability. Technical signals reinforce a bearish outlook: the short‑term moving average sits below the longer‑term averages, the MACD histogram is negative, and RSI is lingering in the low‑mid 30s, suggesting limited upside momentum.
The current market price trades well above the discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating the stock is overvalued, and the 30‑day volatility approaching the low‑20% range adds to the risk profile. Nonetheless, a sub‑1.0 price‑to‑book ratio and a dividend yield near 4% may attract value‑oriented investors if the company can stabilize earnings and reduce leverage.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators
  • Negative earnings and cash‑flow
  • Current price above intrinsic value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential stabilization of commodity prices
  • Attractive dividend yield if payout can be adjusted
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term agricultural demand fundamentals
  • Opportunity for balance‑sheet improvement
  • Value‑oriented pricing if market corrects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-15.50%
Profit Margin-1.57%
ROE-0.70%
ROA-1.96%
Debt/Equity70.74
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$157.2M
Free Cash Flow$-162346256

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.8
Support$3.48
Resistance$3.86
MA 20$3.67
MA 50$3.79
MA 200$3.84
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Valuation

Fair Value$1.18
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.95%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.64
Volatility21.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.