LMT:NYSELockheed Martin Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$664.15
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Lockheed Martin trades at $664, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $654 and 50‑day SMA of $598, underscoring a bullish price trend. The RSI of 60 signals modest upside, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at short‑term momentum weakening as the stock approaches the $692 resistance. Volume is on the rise and a recent dip to $655 creates a modest technical pull‑back.
Fundamentally, the company delivers 9% revenue growth, an extraordinary ROE near 77%, and a 2% dividend yield with a 62% payout, reflecting solid cash generation. Nonetheless, the DCF fair‑value of $384 and a –1% downside estimate indicate the market is pricing a premium; the current P/E of 31 sits above the industry average of 29.5, while forward P/E falls to 20.8. High leverage (Debt/Equity > 300) is offset by robust free cash flow, sustaining the dividend. Recent news of a quadrupled munitions production plan and heightened defense demand after geopolitical events provide a catalyst for continued earnings growth.
Fundamentally, the company delivers 9% revenue growth, an extraordinary ROE near 77%, and a 2% dividend yield with a 62% payout, reflecting solid cash generation. Nonetheless, the DCF fair‑value of $384 and a –1% downside estimate indicate the market is pricing a premium; the current P/E of 31 sits above the industry average of 29.5, while forward P/E falls to 20.8. High leverage (Debt/Equity > 300) is offset by robust free cash flow, sustaining the dividend. Recent news of a quadrupled munitions production plan and heightened defense demand after geopolitical events provide a catalyst for continued earnings growth.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD divergence despite price above moving averages
- Proximity to $692 resistance level
- Recent dip to $655 offering limited upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 9% revenue growth and strong ROE
- Forward P/E of 20.8 indicating valuation compression
- Sustainable 2% dividend yield supported by free cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Quadrupled munitions production and rising defense spending
- High ROE and consistent cash generation
- Dividend sustainability and defensive industry positioning
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.10%
Profit Margin6.69%
P/E Ratio30.9
ROE76.87%
ROA7.57%
Debt/Equity338.80
P/B Ratio22.6
Op. Cash Flow$8.6B
Free Cash Flow$5.3B
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.7
Support$621.68
Resistance$692.00
MA 20$654.15
MA 50$598.42
MA 200$499.49
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Fair Value$384.38
Target Price$657.58
Upside/Downside-0.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.01%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.25
Volatility30.34%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.