We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

LMNR:NASDAQLimoneira Co Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$13.07

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Limoneira’s stock trades at $13.07, sitting below its 20‑day ($12.71) and 50‑day ($12.83) moving averages but still above the 200‑day average ($13.82), signaling a short‑term bearish bias despite a modest bullish crossover on the MACD (line = 0.02, signal = ‑0.05) and an RSI of 55 that is neither overbought nor oversold. Volume is on an increasing trend and the price is approaching the near‑term resistance at $13.51, while the 30‑day volatility of 39.5% and a low beta of 0.47 suggest the stock can swing sharply with limited market correlation. The company reported a steep revenue decline of 31.9% to $132.4 M, negative gross (‑8.8%) and operating margins (‑28.6%), and a trailing EPS of –$2.28, yet the forward EPS of $0.51 yields a forward P/E of 25.5, indicating expectations of a turnaround. Cash on hand is only $0.9 M against $99.8 M of debt (D/E ≈ 61), operating cash flow and free cash flow are both deeply negative, and a 2.21% dividend payout with a 69.8% payout ratio raises sustainability concerns. Analysts (3) have a consensus “Buy” with a median target of $18 and an implied upside of roughly 63%, while the market sentiment index shows “Extreme Greed,” reflecting optimism that strategic partnerships and asset sales discussed in the recent Q2 earnings call may revive earnings. However, the combination of high leverage, cash deficits, and unsustainable dividend policy tempers enthusiasm, making the stock’s valuation appear stretched relative to its current financial health.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators show mixed signals with bearish trend but bullish MACD
  • Recent earnings loss and negative cash flow
  • Increasing volume and proximity to resistance level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic partnership and asset optimization outlined in Q2 call
  • Forward EPS positivity and analyst target upside
  • Low market beta reducing systematic risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Land and agribusiness asset base provides underlying value
  • High debt load and cash deficits limit financial flexibility
  • Dividend payout may be curtailed if earnings do not improve

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-31.90%
Profit Margin-30.50%
P/E Ratio25.5
ROE-23.27%
ROA-7.18%
Debt/Equity60.97
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow$-18231000
Free Cash Flow$-42384752

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI55.0
Support$11.67
Resistance$13.51
MA 20$12.71
MA 50$12.83
MA 200$13.82
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Target Price$21.33
Upside/Downside63.22%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility39.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.