LMNR:NASDAQLimoneira Co Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-15 - not real-time
$13.25
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Limoneira Company (LMNR) is trading at $13.25, well below its 20‑day SMA of 13.27 and 50‑day SMA of 13.75, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while the RSI sits at 47, suggesting momentum is fading but not yet oversold. Volatility is elevated at ~27.7% over the past 30 days and beta is sub‑1 (0.73), meaning the stock moves less than the market but still experiences sizable price swings. Fundamentally, the company posted a 46.9% revenue decline, negative gross (‑3.2%) and operating margins (‑57.6%), and carries $91.9 M of debt on a $0.24 B market cap, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of ~51. Cash flow is deeply negative with operating cash flow of –$4.8 M and free cash flow of –$17.8 M, while earnings per share are –$1.28. The forward PE of 23.66 and P/B of 1.59 appear modest, but the recent pause of the 2.21% dividend raises questions about payout sustainability. Strategic investments in avocado production and water monetization could improve topline growth, yet the transition risk is high and the company’s balance sheet remains strained. The technical support sits near $12.66, and the current price is approaching the resistance level of $13.80, leaving limited upside in the near term. Overall, the stock reflects a blend of defensive sector exposure with significant earnings and liquidity challenges.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below SMAs, negative MACD)
- Paused dividend and weak cash flow
- Limited upside to near‑term resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Continued revenue contraction and negative margins
- High debt load relative to market cap
- Uncertainty around avocado expansion and water monetization
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from strategic avocado and real‑estate initiatives
- Defensive consumer‑staples positioning
- Persistent balance‑sheet and cash‑flow weaknesses
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-46.90%
Profit Margin-15.55%
P/E Ratio23.7
ROE-11.96%
ROA-5.59%
Debt/Equity50.86
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow$-4836000
Free Cash Flow$-17812750
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI47.2
Support$12.66
Resistance$13.80
MA 20$13.27
MA 50$13.75
MA 200$14.45
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.64
Valuation
Target Price$22.33
Upside/Downside68.55%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.21%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.73
Volatility27.66%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.