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KVUE:NYSEKenvue Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-13 - not real-time

$17.26

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kenvue (KVUE) is trading at $17.26, below its 20‑day ($17.41), 50‑day ($17.94) and 200‑day ($18.20) moving averages, indicating a short‑term bearish price trend, while the RSI of 44.6 suggests neutral momentum. The MACD line sits just above the signal line, producing a modest bullish histogram (+0.017), and the stock finds support near $16.64 with resistance around $17.96, framing a tight trading range. Volatility is elevated at roughly 22.9% (30‑day) but beta is low (0.33), tempering market‑wide risk, and the dividend yield remains attractive at 4.78% despite a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising sustainability concerns.
Fundamentally, KVUE posted modest revenue growth of 3.2% YoY, with solid gross (58.4%) and operating (17.8%) margins, and generated $1.81 B in free cash flow, yet it carries a high debt load (Debt‑to‑Equity ~80%). The DCF‑derived fair value of $10.64 suggests the market is pricing in a premium, though analyst consensus targets of $19.5‑$19.75 imply a potential upside of around 14%. Recent earnings beat and strength in the beauty segment have buoyed sentiment, but the unsustainable dividend and leverage temper enthusiasm, leading to a balanced outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support and below key moving averages
  • Bullish MACD crossover offering short‑term upside
  • High dividend yield but payout ratio >100% raises sustainability concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst target price ~19.5 suggests ~14% upside
  • Improving forward PE (14.3) and earnings beat on segment strength
  • Stable cash flow generation despite elevated leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consumer‑defensive positioning provides resilience
  • High debt-to-equity and unsustainable dividend payout limit upside
  • Long‑term cash flow and modest revenue growth support valuation stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.20%
Profit Margin9.72%
P/E Ratio22.7
ROE14.39%
ROA6.61%
Debt/Equity80.58
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.6
Support$16.64
Resistance$17.96
MA 20$17.41
MA 50$17.94
MA 200$18.20
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.09

Valuation

Fair Value$10.64
Target Price$19.75
Upside/Downside14.43%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.78%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.33
Volatility22.86%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.