KTOS:NASDAQKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time
$46.98
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. trades at $46.98, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. It has gained 7.1% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 35.0 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $46.31 and resistance at $67.10.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 276.4 versus a 27.7 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 121.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 30.5% on a 2.0% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 56.7%, a beta of 2.18 and a maximum drawdown of 66.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 276.4 versus a 27.7 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 121.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 30.5% on a 2.0% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 56.7%, a beta of 2.18 and a maximum drawdown of 66.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
Top Market Events
SAN DIEGO, Aug. 19, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., NASDAQ: KTOS , a technology...Baron Capital, an investment management company, released its Q2 2026 investor letter for the “Baron Discovery...Kratos Defense and Security Solutions and Northrop Grumman are two great ways to play the trend toward increased...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 71.28
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +7.1%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 276.4 versus sector average of 27.7
- Trading below the 200-day average of 71.28
- Analyst targets imply +121.8% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 276.4 versus sector average of 27.7
- Analyst targets imply +121.8% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +30.5%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth30.50%
Profit Margin2.03%
P/E Ratio276.4
ROE1.15%
ROA0.43%
Debt/Equity5.65
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$-39600000
Free Cash Flow$-118287504
Industry P/E27.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.0
Support$46.31
Resistance$67.10
MA 20$53.84
MA 50$52.29
MA 200$71.28
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.57
Valuation
Target Price$104.20
Upside/Downside121.80%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.18
Volatility56.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.