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KSPI:NASDAQJoint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - American Depository Shares analysis

Data as of Aug 29, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$106.29
Risk: medium
6/10Medium risk

Summary

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz trades at $106.29, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. It has gained 20.9% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 69.8 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at $90.00 up to resistance at $109.94.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 8.9 sits below the sector average of 35.7. Sell-side targets cluster 3.7% below the current quote. Revenue is growing at 13.6% on a 24.2% profit margin. The 5.47% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 28.6%, a beta of 0.99 and a maximum drawdown of 26.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.

Top market events

  • ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Aug. 10, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz "Kaspi.kz" Nasdaq:KSPI today published...
  • ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Aug. 10, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz 'Kaspi.kz” Nasdaq:KSPI today...
  • Seeking Alpha19dJoint Stock Company Kaspi.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Positive

Model confidence8/108 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 82.23
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium term

1–3 years

Positive

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 8.9 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 82.23

Long term

> 3 years

Positive

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 8.9 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Profit margin of 24.2% is healthy
  • Revenue growth of +13.6%

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth13.60%
Profit Margin24.15%
P/E Ratio8.9
ROE44.78%
ROA13.54%
Debt/Equity22.17
P/B Ratio0.0
Free Cash Flow$-612422385664
Industry P/E35.7

Technical analysis

TrendBullish
RSI69.8
Support$90.00
Resistance$109.94
MA 20$99.37
MA 50$92.24
MA 200$82.23
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.66

Valuation

Target Price$102.38
Upside/Downside-3.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.47%

Risk assessment

Beta0.99
Volatility28.63%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.