KSCP:NASDAQKnightscope, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$3.00
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Knightscope, Inc. (KSCP) is trading just above its calculated resistance level of $3.47 while the 20‑day simple moving average sits at $2.98, indicating the price is near the upper technical range but still above the support level of $2.52.
The RSI14 of 47.15 and a bullish MACD signal (histogram +0.02) suggest a marginally oversold condition that could reverse upward, yet the overall trend direction remains bearish with a high volatility of 59.5% and a beta of 2.60 exposing the stock to amplified market swings.
Fundamentally the company shows severe weakness: negative gross, operating and profit margins (‑0.25, ‑1.72, ‑2.58%), a trailing EPS of ‑3.46, a forward EPS of ‑2.59 and a max drawdown of ‑74.2% that together signal a fragile earnings base and an undervalued valuation profile despite a price‑to‑book ratio of 1.35.
Liquidity appears limited; daily volume of 623,622 shares is modest relative to the 10‑day average of 497,950, and the market cap of $51.8 M places the stock in the small‑cap liquidity tier, reinforcing a medium liquidity risk.
The sector environment (Industrials – Security & Protection Services) carries medium regulatory risk due to evolving autonomous‑security standards, while the company’s geographic exposure is confined to the United States, suggesting a low geographic risk.
Overall, the stock exhibits a high composite risk profile driven by technical weakness, poor fundamentals, and elevated market sensitivity, which should temper short‑term optimism.
The RSI14 of 47.15 and a bullish MACD signal (histogram +0.02) suggest a marginally oversold condition that could reverse upward, yet the overall trend direction remains bearish with a high volatility of 59.5% and a beta of 2.60 exposing the stock to amplified market swings.
Fundamentally the company shows severe weakness: negative gross, operating and profit margins (‑0.25, ‑1.72, ‑2.58%), a trailing EPS of ‑3.46, a forward EPS of ‑2.59 and a max drawdown of ‑74.2% that together signal a fragile earnings base and an undervalued valuation profile despite a price‑to‑book ratio of 1.35.
Liquidity appears limited; daily volume of 623,622 shares is modest relative to the 10‑day average of 497,950, and the market cap of $51.8 M places the stock in the small‑cap liquidity tier, reinforcing a medium liquidity risk.
The sector environment (Industrials – Security & Protection Services) carries medium regulatory risk due to evolving autonomous‑security standards, while the company’s geographic exposure is confined to the United States, suggesting a low geographic risk.
Overall, the stock exhibits a high composite risk profile driven by technical weakness, poor fundamentals, and elevated market sensitivity, which should temper short‑term optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near resistance with bearish trend
- negative margins and earnings
- high volatility and beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- potential market expansion for autonomous security robots
- strategic partnerships (e.g., Carnegie Mellon program)
- new contract pipeline of ~$3.8 M
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- sustained cash burn and debt load
- uncertain profitability trajectory
- exposure to regulatory developments in security robotics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth106.20%
Profit Margin-257.99%
P/E Ratio-1.2
ROE-142.77%
ROA-52.27%
Debt/Equity23.21
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$-35574000
Free Cash Flow$-20290500
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI47.2
Support$2.52
Resistance$3.47
MA 20$2.98
MA 50$3.48
MA 200$4.53
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Target Price$15.33
Upside/Downside411.11%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta2.60
Volatility59.47%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.