KRUS:NASDAQKura Sushi USA, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$51.34
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Kura Sushi trades around $51.34, which sits above its 20‑day ($50.41), 50‑day ($54.07) and 200‑day ($60.73) SMAs, signaling a bearish price context despite a modest bullish MACD histogram (+0.48) and a neutral RSI of 51.5. Volume is on an increasing trend, but the stock is highly volatile (63% 30‑day) and carries a beta of ~1.09, while market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear‑Greed Index 92).
Fundamentally, KRUS posted $306.9 M of revenue with a solid 23% YoY growth, yet margins remain thin (gross 16%, operating –1.3%) and earnings are negative (trailing EPS –$0.15). The forward P/E of 188 and a DCF‑derived fair value of $34.47 imply the stock is significantly overvalued (price > fair value by >50%). Debt is high (Debt‑to‑Equity ~89) and free cash flow is negative, while the company pays no dividend.
Fundamentally, KRUS posted $306.9 M of revenue with a solid 23% YoY growth, yet margins remain thin (gross 16%, operating –1.3%) and earnings are negative (trailing EPS –$0.15). The forward P/E of 188 and a DCF‑derived fair value of $34.47 imply the stock is significantly overvalued (price > fair value by >50%). Debt is high (Debt‑to‑Equity ~89) and free cash flow is negative, while the company pays no dividend.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram despite bearish trend
- Increasing trading volume
- Recent positive marketing news driving short‑term price lift
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth but persistent negative margins
- High debt load and negative free cash flow
- Price still above DCF fair value, limiting upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
- Unsustainable cash‑flow profile and high leverage
- Consumer‑cyclical exposure in a tightening discretionary spending environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.30%
Profit Margin-0.63%
P/E Ratio188.3
ROE-0.85%
ROA-0.42%
Debt/Equity88.79
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$24.2M
Free Cash Flow$-36375124
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.5
Support$43.00
Resistance$58.83
MA 20$50.41
MA 50$54.07
MA 200$60.73
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13
Valuation
Fair Value$34.47
Target Price$78.70
Upside/Downside53.29%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.09
Volatility63.01%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.