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KMB:PYTHKIMBERLY-CLARK CORPORATION / US DOLLAR Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$102.57

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kimberly‑Clark (KMB) trades at $102.57, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $17.53, indicating significant overvaluation. The stock sits below its 20‑day SMA (107.65) and 50‑day SMA (103.35), with a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting short‑term downside pressure. Meanwhile, the company boasts a near‑5% dividend yield but a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. The recent shareholder approval of the Kenvue acquisition adds a strategic growth narrative, yet the merger remains pending and its impact on margins is uncertain. Overall, the defensive consumer‑staples sector and low beta (≈0.06) temper volatility, but the current price‑to‑earnings (21.1) and price‑to‑book (22.7) ratios remain lofty.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Proximity to support at $101.02

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Pending Kenvue merger could unlock synergies
  • Defensive sector footing supports stability
  • Overvaluation remains despite strategic catalyst

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield if payout ratio improves
  • Low beta and stable cash flows underpin defensive profile
  • Long‑term value upside limited by high valuation multiples

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin12.29%
P/E Ratio21.1
ROE126.60%
ROA9.61%
Debt/Equity464.79
P/B Ratio22.7
Op. Cash Flow$2.8B
Free Cash Flow$912.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.8
Support$101.02
Resistance$111.82
MA 20$107.65
MA 50$103.35
MA 200$117.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.07

Valuation

Fair Value$17.53
Target Price$119.21
Upside/Downside16.23%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.98%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility23.28%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.