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KEYS:NYSEKeysight Technologies Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$282.02

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Keysight Technologies posted a record Q1 with revenue up 23% YoY to $1.6 billion, driven by AI‑related semiconductor demand and strong order flow. Management raised FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $8.59, implying >20% earnings growth, and analysts have upgraded the stock, sending it up 24% on the day. Technical indicators reinforce the upside narrative: the 20‑day SMA (267.35) sits well above the 50‑day SMA (235.18), the trend is bullish, RSI is at 60, and volume is increasing, although MACD shows a slight bearish histogram. The market price of $282.02 exceeds the DCF‑derived fair value of $220.19, suggesting the stock is currently priced for growth with limited upside of roughly 6% versus the model. Nevertheless, the company’s strong margins (gross 61.9%, operating 16.3%) and robust free cash flow ($1.08 billion) provide a solid financial cushion.
Despite a high beta (~1.4) and 30‑day volatility near 70%, the firm’s exposure is largely domestic, with low currency and geographic risk. The lack of dividend payout removes income‑risk concerns, but the elevated PE (≈50) relative to the industry (≈37) flags valuation pressure. In summary, Keysight’s growth engine and recent earnings beat justify a near‑term buying stance, while investors should monitor valuation compression and market volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Record Q1 revenue (+23%) and upgraded EPS guidance
  • Bullish technical setup (price above SMA20/50, RSI 60)
  • Increasing volume and strong order backlog in AI/semiconductor segment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Current price above DCF fair value limiting upside
  • High valuation multiples (PE ~50) relative to peers
  • Sustained cash generation and margin strength supporting earnings growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in AI data‑center testing and semiconductor markets
  • Robust free cash flow and low debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Long‑term secular demand for electronic test and measurement solutions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth23.30%
Profit Margin16.95%
P/E Ratio49.7
ROE17.22%
ROA5.82%
Debt/Equity44.67
P/B Ratio7.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.5B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.0
Support$228.35
Resistance$317.00
MA 20$267.35
MA 50$235.18
MA 200$188.15
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.29

Valuation

Fair Value$220.19
Target Price$298.62
Upside/Downside5.88%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.41
Volatility69.92%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.