KEY:TSXKeyera Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
CA$53.13
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading above its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, with a bullish trend direction and rising volume, but the RSI is in the upper range and the MACD shows a bearish histogram, suggesting near‑term caution as price approaches a key resistance level.
Fundamental backdrop: Valuation metrics are stretched relative to the sector, while forward earnings multiples look more attractive. The dividend yield is notable, yet the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising sustainability questions. A high debt load and recent acquisition‑focused guidance point to growth ambitions, and analysts currently rate the stock as a buy.
Fundamental backdrop: Valuation metrics are stretched relative to the sector, while forward earnings multiples look more attractive. The dividend yield is notable, yet the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising sustainability questions. A high debt load and recent acquisition‑focused guidance point to growth ambitions, and analysts currently rate the stock as a buy.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with overbought momentum
- Increasing trading volume supporting the trend
- Upcoming dividend adds short‑term appeal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings multiples suggest upside
- Acquisition strategy targeting EBITDA growth
- Analyst consensus leans toward buy
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and dividend sustainability concerns
- Energy midstream exposure to commodity cycles
- Stable cash flow but limited long‑term growth without successful acquisitions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-12.40%
Profit Margin6.31%
P/E Ratio28.1
ROE15.45%
ROA4.71%
Debt/Equity227.74
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash FlowCA$774.5M
Free Cash FlowCA$241.2M
Industry P/E20.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.4
SupportCA$47.86
ResistanceCA$53.97
MA 20CA$51.64
MA 50CA$47.41
MA 200CA$44.62
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.32
Valuation
Target PriceCA$54.31
Upside/Downside2.22%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.03%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.28
Volatility22.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.