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KESKOB:OMXHEXKesko Oyj Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

€20.06

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Kesko Oyj trades at €20.06, just below its 20‑day (≈20.51) and 50‑day (≈20.49) simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term price pressure point near the identified support of €19.62. The stock shows a bullish trend direction but a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 43, suggesting mixed momentum as volume continues to rise. Fundamentally, revenue is growing at 6.3% with a modest gross margin of 14.5% and a low operating margin of 4.9%, while the dividend yield stands out at 4.49% with a high payout ratio of 91%. The company’s leverage is elevated (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 126%) and cash generation modest (free cash flow €252 M), which tempers the attractiveness of the dividend. Analysts rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target price of €22, implying a modest upside of roughly 4% and a fair valuation relative to its €20.73 DCF‑derived fair value. Overall, the defensive consumer sector positioning, low beta, and solid dividend income provide a stable base, but the high leverage and near‑full payout introduce sustainability concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support level of €19.62
  • Bearish MACD despite bullish trend
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Target median price of €22 suggests ~4% upside
  • Attractive dividend yield of 4.49%
  • Stable cash flow supporting dividend payments

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive consumer sector with low beta
  • Consistent dividend income
  • Long‑term earnings stability despite high leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.30%
Profit Margin3.24%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE14.56%
ROA4.47%
Debt/Equity126.39
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow€879.7M
Free Cash Flow€252.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.5
Support€19.62
Resistance€21.52
MA 20€20.51
MA 50€20.49
MA 200€19.53
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value€2.73
Target Price€20.83
Upside/Downside3.86%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.49%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility23.18%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.