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KDP:NASDAQKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-12 - not real-time

$26.57

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Keurig Dr Pepper is trading at $26.57, well below its 20‑day ($26.44), 50‑day ($27.88) and 200‑day ($28.93) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits near 47, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is modestly positive, hinting at a possible early reversal. Volatility is elevated at 21.6% over the past 30 days, but the beta of 0.14 suggests the stock moves little with the broader market.
Fundamentally, the company posted 10.5% revenue growth, strong gross (54%) and operating (22.6%) margins, and a forward EPS of $2.53, compressing the forward P/E to roughly 10.5×. The dividend yield of 3.46% with a 60% payout ratio appears sustainable, and analysts have a mean target of $34, implying ~29% upside. Recent material news highlights robust net‑sales growth across all segments and the pending acquisition of JDE Peet’s, which could broaden the brand portfolio and drive synergies. Wells Fargo’s upgraded price target to $40 reinforces the upside narrative, despite a 12.5% price dip since the last earnings release.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at $24.88
  • Bearish moving‑average alignment
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst mean target of $34 (+29% upside)
  • Forward earnings growth compressing P/E to ~10.5x
  • JDE Peet’s acquisition expanding brand footprint

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend yield of 3.46% with sustainable payout
  • Consistent revenue growth and strong profit margins
  • Defensive consumer‑staples positioning with low beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin12.52%
P/E Ratio17.4
ROE8.36%
ROA4.26%
Debt/Equity75.38
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$2.0B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.2
Support$24.88
Resistance$28.02
MA 20$26.44
MA 50$27.88
MA 200$28.93
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.09

Valuation

Fair Value$4.22
Target Price$34.33
Upside/Downside29.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility21.64%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.