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JRSH:NASDAQJerash Holdings (US), Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-12 - not real-time

$3.10

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Jerash Holdings (US) trades at $3.10, hugging a key support around $2.85 while sitting just below its 50‑day SMA ($3.11) and well under the 200‑day SMA ($3.21), signaling a bearish price environment. The company posted an 18% revenue increase, yet margins remain thin (gross margin ~16%, operating margin ~4.6%) and cash generation is negative, with operating cash flow of –$1.5 M and free cash flow of –$3.1 M. Despite a lofty 6.45% dividend yield, the payout ratio exceeds 140%, raising doubts about sustainability. Valuation metrics look attractive – a forward P/E of ~8× and a price‑to‑book of 0.62 – but the high 30‑day volatility (≈30%) and modest beta (~0.76) underscore significant price risk. The MACD histogram is positive, hinting at short‑term momentum, but the overall trend remains bearish.
Investors should weigh the appealing valuation and dividend income against the cash‑flow weakness, margin pressure, and elevated risk profile before deciding on exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bearish SMA alignment
  • Positive MACD histogram suggesting limited upside
  • High dividend yield but unsustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 18% but persistent cash‑flow deficits
  • Forward P/E of ~8 indicating valuation upside potential
  • Continued margin pressure and high volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Negative operating and free cash flow trends
  • Dividend payout ratio >140% raising sustainability concerns
  • Cyclical apparel sector exposure and bearish price trend

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin1.18%
P/E Ratio22.1
ROE2.86%
ROA3.37%
Debt/Equity15.25
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-1545592
Free Cash Flow$-3115546

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI57.9
Support$2.85
Resistance$3.18
MA 20$2.99
MA 50$3.11
MA 200$3.21
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.09

Valuation

Target Price$4.50
Upside/Downside45.16%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.77
Volatility30.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.