KEX:NYSEKirby Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-12 - not real-time
$140.38
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kirby Corporation (KEX) is trading at $140.38, comfortably above its 20‑day ($133.77) and 50‑day ($129.01) moving averages and just shy of the 52‑week high of $143.29, indicating a strong bullish trend. The RSI of 67 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.65) reinforce the momentum, while the price sits on a solid support level around $123.92 with resistance near $143.29. Fundamentally, revenue grew 6.2% YoY to $3.36 B, margins remain healthy (gross 34%, operating 16%, profit 10.5%), and free cash flow of $294 M supports the operating cash flow of $670 M. The forward EPS of $8.28 yields a forward P/E of 16.96, well below the current P/E of 22.18 and the industry average P/E of 30.92, suggesting a relative value advantage. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $77.14 places the current price overvalued by roughly 6–7%, and the balance sheet shows a high debt load ($1.13 B) with a debt‑to‑equity of 33.5, limiting financial flexibility. The market sentiment is extremely greedy (Fear‑Greed Index 87) and analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median target of $154, reflecting optimism about infrastructure‑linked demand.
Given the bullish technical setup, solid earnings outlook, and upcoming Q1 earnings release, short‑term traders may exercise caution near the resistance zone, while medium‑term investors can capitalize on the growth narrative. Long‑term holders should monitor valuation gaps and debt levels, as the price remains significantly above intrinsic estimates despite favorable cash flow and margin profiles.
Given the bullish technical setup, solid earnings outlook, and upcoming Q1 earnings release, short‑term traders may exercise caution near the resistance zone, while medium‑term investors can capitalize on the growth narrative. Long‑term holders should monitor valuation gaps and debt levels, as the price remains significantly above intrinsic estimates despite favorable cash flow and margin profiles.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (RSI 67, MACD bullish) near resistance
- Decreasing volume trend suggests possible pull‑back
- Upcoming earnings release could confirm momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 6.2% with strong operating margins
- Forward P/E of 16.96 versus industry average of 30.92
- Robust free cash flow supporting continued operations
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price significantly above DCF fair value (~$77)
- High debt levels (Debt‑to‑Equity 33.5) limit flexibility
- Long‑term infrastructure demand underpinning marine shipping
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.20%
Profit Margin10.54%
P/E Ratio22.2
ROE10.55%
ROA5.37%
Debt/Equity33.55
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$670.2M
Free Cash Flow$294.0M
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.3
Support$123.92
Resistance$143.29
MA 20$133.77
MA 50$129.01
MA 200$110.45
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.09
Valuation
Fair Value$77.14
Target Price$149.83
Upside/Downside6.73%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.86
Volatility25.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.