JBHT:NASDAQJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
$215.85
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
J.B. Hunt is trading well above its 20‑day (224.98) and 50‑day (214.52) moving averages, confirming a broader bullish trend, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, indicating short‑term downside pressure. The RSI sits at 45.4, suggesting neutral momentum, while volume has been decreasing, which could limit upward thrust. Valuation metrics are stretched – a trailing P/E of 35.2 exceeds the industry average of 29.4 and the DCF‑derived fair value of $92.44 is less than half the current price, resulting in a modest –2.2% downside estimate. Despite a modest revenue decline of 1.6%, the company posted a solid ROE of 15.8% and a low dividend payout ratio of 28.8%, supporting dividend sustainability. Recent material news, including the award for Best Overall Intermodal Provider and a dual listing on Nasdaq Texas, underscores competitive strength, while a CFO stock sale and decreasing trading volume temper enthusiasm.
Overall, the stock sits near its technical resistance of $236 with a market price of $215.85, aligns with analyst “Buy” consensus and a median target of $215, but faces valuation headwinds and short‑term momentum weakness. Investors should weigh the strong cash‑flow generation and dividend safety against the elevated price multiples and bearish technical signals.
Overall, the stock sits near its technical resistance of $236 with a market price of $215.85, aligns with analyst “Buy” consensus and a median target of $215, but faces valuation headwinds and short‑term momentum weakness. Investors should weigh the strong cash‑flow generation and dividend safety against the elevated price multiples and bearish technical signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram and signal line
- Decreasing trading volume
- Proximity to technical resistance around $236
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS growth to $8.84 and forward P/E of 24.4
- Leadership in intermodal logistics (award recognition)
- Analyst consensus of Buy with median target near current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Strong ROE and cash‑flow generation
- Industry positioning and potential secular growth in freight logistics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.60%
Profit Margin4.99%
P/E Ratio35.2
ROE15.79%
ROA6.66%
Debt/Equity48.26
P/B Ratio5.7
Op. Cash Flow$1.7B
Free Cash Flow$756.6M
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.4
Support$206.43
Resistance$236.00
MA 20$224.98
MA 50$214.52
MA 200$168.95
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Fair Value$92.44
Target Price$211.17
Upside/Downside-2.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.83%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.03
Volatility39.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.