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JACK:NASDAQJack In The Box Inc. analysis

Data as of Sep 18, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$13.06
Risk: high
9/10High risk

Summary

Jack in the Box Inc. is priced at $13.06, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 24.9%. Relative strength is 32.3 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $12.91 up to resistance at $18.39.
On valuation the read is undervalued — an earnings multiple of 4.1, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Analyst price targets sit 53.1% above the current price. The 15.71% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 59.9%, a beta of 1.38 and a maximum drawdown of 60.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Fast-food chain Jack in the Box NASDAQ:JACK in Q2 CY2026, with sales falling 1.
  • Fast-food chain Jack in the Box NASDAQ:JACK fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2026, with sales...
  • Fast-food chain Jack in the Box NASDAQ:JACK will be reporting earnings this Wednesday afternoon.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 15.74
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -24.9%

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • Dividend yield of 15.71% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 15.74
  • Analyst targets imply +53.1% versus the current price

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • Dividend yield of 15.71% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply +53.1% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -1.8%

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth-1.80%
Profit Margin2.36%
P/E Ratio4.1
ROA4.20%
P/B Ratio-0.3
Op. Cash Flow$74.2M
Free Cash Flow$-9294750

Technical analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.3
Support$12.91
Resistance$18.39
MA 20$15.34
MA 50$15.94
MA 200$15.74
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.98

Valuation

Target Price$20.00
Upside/Downside53.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield15.71%

Risk assessment

Beta1.38
Volatility59.93%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.