IVSS:NASDAQApplied Finance IVS US SMID ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-11 - not real-time
$26.82
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The IVSS ETF is trading at $26.82, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of 26.02 but just shy of the 50‑day SMA of 26.62. Momentum indicators are mixed, with an RSI of 58 indicating neutral pressure and a bullish MACD histogram of 0.16. Technical support sits at $25.26, while recent resistance is near $27.32, suggesting the fund has room to rally before hitting the upper band. Volume is on an increasing trend, outpacing its 10‑day average of 26,240 shares despite a low intraday count of 1,299. The 30‑day volatility of 18.8% reflects heightened short‑term swings typical of mid‑cap blends. A beta of 0.91 points to slightly lower market sensitivity, and the expense ratio of 0.59% is in line with peers.
The fund’s max drawdown of 8.3% remains modest, and the zero tracking error eliminates concerns over benchmark deviation. Investor sentiment is at an “Extreme Greed” level (Fear‑Greed Index 87), which may fuel short‑term buying pressure. With no dividend yield and a trailing P/E of 15.16, the ETF leans on earnings growth rather than income. The lack of historical performance beyond its December 2025 inception adds uncertainty to long‑term expectations. Liquidity appears moderate; while average volumes are healthy, the current thin trading could widen spreads in volatile markets. Overall, the blend of technical upside, modest risk metrics, and favorable market sentiment supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.
The fund’s max drawdown of 8.3% remains modest, and the zero tracking error eliminates concerns over benchmark deviation. Investor sentiment is at an “Extreme Greed” level (Fear‑Greed Index 87), which may fuel short‑term buying pressure. With no dividend yield and a trailing P/E of 15.16, the ETF leans on earnings growth rather than income. The lack of historical performance beyond its December 2025 inception adds uncertainty to long‑term expectations. Liquidity appears moderate; while average volumes are healthy, the current thin trading could widen spreads in volatile markets. Overall, the blend of technical upside, modest risk metrics, and favorable market sentiment supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram
- Price above 20‑day SMA
- Increasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral RSI
- Beta below 1
- Expense ratio in line with peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Limited track record since inception
- Mid‑cap growth potential
- Modest max drawdown
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.59%
AUM$15.6M
Inception Date2025-12-03
Avg Daily Volume26,240
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.3
Support$25.26
Resistance$27.32
MA 20$26.02
MA 50$26.62
MA 200$26.34
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.09
Risk Assessment
Beta0.91
Volatility18.77%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.