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IVAL:NASDAQAlpha Architect International Quantitative Value ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-11 - not real-time

$35.38

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $35.38, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of 33.90 and the 200‑day SMA of 31.30, while remaining below the identified resistance at 35.69. Momentum indicators are supportive – the RSI sits at 60.9 (still below overbought levels) and the MACD line is bullish at 0.18 with a positive histogram, suggesting upside potential in the near term. Volatility over the past 30 days is moderate at 26.3%, and the fund’s beta of 0.67 points to lower systematic risk than the broader market. Fundamental metrics are attractive: a YTD return of 6.3%, a dividend yield near 2.8%, and an expense ratio of only 0.38%, with zero tracking error and no premium/discount distortion.
Risk‑adjusted returns appear solid, but liquidity is modest (average 10‑day volume ~12k) and the fund’s foreign exposure introduces a medium level of currency risk. Sector concentration appears low given its “Foreign Large Value” mandate, reducing sector‑specific risk. Overall, the ETF presents a balanced risk‑return profile suitable for investors seeking value‑oriented international exposure with disciplined cost management.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI indicating continued momentum
  • Price positioned above short‑term SMA with room to test resistance
  • Stable volume trend supporting current price level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 3‑year annualized return (~19.8%) and attractive dividend yield
  • Low expense ratio and zero tracking error enhancing net returns
  • Lower beta (0.67) providing downside protection in volatile markets

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent value‑oriented strategy with zero turnover
  • Diversified international large‑cap exposure reducing sector risk
  • Historical outperformance of value premiums outweighing medium currency risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.38%
AUM$195.9M
Inception Date2014-12-16
Avg Daily Volume11,700
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.83%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI60.9
Support$32.54
Resistance$35.69
MA 20$33.90
MA 50$34.72
MA 200$31.30
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.09

Risk Assessment

Beta0.67
Volatility26.30%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.