IVAL:NASDAQAlpha Architect International Quantitative Value ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
$35.07
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
IVAL is currently trading at $35.07, just above its identified support at $34.08 and comfortably below resistance at $35.79, suggesting limited upside in the near term. The 20‑day SMA (35.02) sits above the 50‑day (34.58) and 200‑day (32.38) averages, confirming a bullish trend despite a bearish MACD histogram (‑0.027) and a MACD signal labeled bearish. RSI at 50.7 indicates the fund is neither overbought nor oversold, providing a neutral momentum backdrop. Volatility over the past 30 days is moderate at 14.6%, and the maximum drawdown of 11.2% reflects a relatively controlled downside risk. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.38% and a dividend yield of 2.71% add income and cost efficiency, while a beta of 0.82 points to lower sensitivity to broader market moves.
Market sentiment is extremely optimistic, as reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 91.6 (Extreme Greed), which may support price stability in the short run. Tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating concerns about deviation from the underlying quantitative value strategy, and the fund’s turnover is nil, indicating a stable portfolio composition. Liquidity appears modest, with average daily volume around 13,000 shares, but the stable volume trend mitigates immediate execution risk. Currency exposure is inherent in the foreign large‑value mandate, placing currency risk at a medium level. Overall, the combination of a solid dividend, low expense, and a historically strong 5‑year annualized return (~19%) positions IVAL as a compelling hold for medium to long‑term investors.
Market sentiment is extremely optimistic, as reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 91.6 (Extreme Greed), which may support price stability in the short run. Tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating concerns about deviation from the underlying quantitative value strategy, and the fund’s turnover is nil, indicating a stable portfolio composition. Liquidity appears modest, with average daily volume around 13,000 shares, but the stable volume trend mitigates immediate execution risk. Currency exposure is inherent in the foreign large‑value mandate, placing currency risk at a medium level. Overall, the combination of a solid dividend, low expense, and a historically strong 5‑year annualized return (~19%) positions IVAL as a compelling hold for medium to long‑term investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support with limited upside
- Bearish MACD signal despite bullish SMA alignment
- Stable volume and low tracking error
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Consistent bullish SMA hierarchy
- Attractive dividend yield of 2.71%
- Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong historical annualized return (~19%)
- Low beta indicating reduced market sensitivity
- Stable portfolio composition with no turnover
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.38%
AUM$206.8M
Inception Date2014-12-16
Avg Daily Volume13,390
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.71%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI50.7
Support$34.08
Resistance$35.79
MA 20$35.02
MA 50$34.58
MA 200$32.38
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Risk Assessment
Beta0.82
Volatility14.60%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.