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IVAL:NASDAQAlpha Architect International Quantitative Value ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

$35.52

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Current price of 35.52 USD sits above the 20‑day (35.30 USD) and 50‑day (35.09 USD) SMA and markedly above the 200‑day SMA (32.78 USD), underscoring a strong bullish trend. The RSI of 54.6 places the ETF in a modestly overbought zone, while the MACD histogram is negative (‑0.036) and the MACD signal is labeled bearish, indicating a potential near‑term pullback. However, the overall trend_direction is flagged bullish, and volume is increasing, supporting continued upward pressure. The 30‑day volatility of 14.5 % is moderate, and the beta of 0.81 indicates lower systematic risk than the market. YTD return of 14.2 % and a 3‑year return of ~19 % demonstrate solid historical performance, complemented by a modest 2.6 % dividend yield. The max drawdown of ‑11.2 % and a low tracking error (zero) suggest reasonable downside protection. The Fear‑Greed Index sits at 89.9 % (Extreme Greed), suggesting market optimism but also caution. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.38 % is low, enhancing net returns. The zero premium/discount and zero tracking error indicate tight alignment with its quantitative model.
Given these metrics, the ETF presents a balanced profile with growth potential and moderate risk. The limited sector concentration of foreign large‑value stocks keeps sector risk low, while the low beta and modest dividend provide stability. Investors should monitor the bearish MACD signal for a possible short‑term correction but can remain confident in the medium‑to‑long‑term outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish alignment with SMA series
  • Increasing volume trend
  • Bearish MACD signal (monitor for reversal)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 3‑year historical return
  • Low beta indicating reduced market volatility
  • Zero tracking error and tight premium/discount

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable 2.6 % dividend yield
  • Low expense ratio (0.38 %)
  • Consistent value‑oriented quantitative strategy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.38%
AUM$216.7M
Inception Date2014-12-16
Avg Daily Volume26,150
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.63%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.6
Support$34.68
Resistance$35.95
MA 20$35.30
MA 50$35.09
MA 200$32.79
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility14.53%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.